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WTNT34 KNHC 131435
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

...MARIA MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING OVER PUERTO RICO...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 68.0W
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM E OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND A
FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY THURSDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA ON
THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...
325 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
TO 20 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES OVER AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH
TUESDAY.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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