[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT35 KNHC 110557
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152011
100 AM CDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...NATE IS NOT STRENGTHENING...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER
SOUTHERN MEXICO LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 95.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO NORTH OF TUXPAN
* MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO NORTH OF TUXPAN
* MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST. NATE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK
THE CENTER OF NATE WILL REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  PRELIMINARY DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE
INDICATE THAT NATE HAS NOT STRENGTHENED AND THE CHANCES OF BECOMING
A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL ARE DIMINISHING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN A FEW HOURS...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE BY MIDDAY.

RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TABASCO.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/AVILA



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