[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT33 KWNH 051456
TCPAT3

REMNANTS OF LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
1000 AM CDT MON SEP 05 2011

...REMNANTS OF LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE GULF COAST
STATES TO NEW ENGLAND...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.5N 89.9W
ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...NNE OF NEW ORLEANS, LA.
ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM...S OF JACKSON, MS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 77 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...23 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST. LEE HAS BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AS IT HAS MERGED WITH A
FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOL AND DRY AIR INFILTRATING THE CIRCULATION
CENTER FROM THE NORTH AND WEST. THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST...BRINGING THE CENTER INTO
ALABAMA BY MONDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL
ZONE...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN LOCATIONS
WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF LEE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE
RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10 AM CDT

...ALABAMA...
MOBILE 10.2 WSW                     11.35
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW                    10.39
THEODORE 3.7 WNW                     9.78
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE                 9.75
FOLEY 2.0 SSW                        9.73
ELBERTA 3.1 SSW                      9.65
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW              9.47
MOBILE/BATES FIELD                   9.19
POINT CLEAR 1.6 SSW                  7.90
WILMER 7.9 SE                        7.51
FAIRHOPE 0.9 N                       7.41

...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE                      10.03
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE                     7.35
PENSACOLA 3.8 N                      6.57
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW               6.35
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE                       6.10
PACE 2.4 N                           6.06
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW                      6.02
DESTIN AIRPORT                       5.93
GONZALEZ 2.1 E                       5.68
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT               5.37
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE                     5.33
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 5.30
HURLBURT FIELD AWS                   5.30
BELLVIEW 1.7 NW                      5.13

...KENTUCKY...
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW                 3.10
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S                   2.34
BOWLING GREEN 5.9 ESE                2.33
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE                  2.14
LEXINGTON 1.7 SSE                    2.08
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW                      2.00

...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN                              15.43
N.O. CAROLLTON                      14.32
MAUREPAS                            13.63
PONCHATOULA 4 SE                    13.22
CONVENT 2 S                         13.04
RESERVE 0.5 SSE                     12.43
GRAY 0.5 ENE                        12.15
MARRERO 1.9 E                       11.21
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE                  10.91
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                 10.80
MERAUX 0.8 WNW                      10.10
ABITA SPRINGS 2.2 SSW                9.93
LACOMBE 1.4 N                        9.79
TERRYTOWN 3.3 S                      9.10
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW                      9.04
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E                    9.00
SLIDELL 2.2 NE                       8.20

...MISSISSIPPI...
FLORENCE 0.9 E                      13.45
WAVELAND 1.1 NW                     13.20
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE                     11.75
GULFPORT 2.0 NE                     11.71
LONG BEACH 0.7 S                    11.59
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N                11.31
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW                    11.25
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E                  11.18
PEARL 3.4 ESE                       11.14
JACKSON WFO                         11.13
KILN 6.6 N                          10.90
GULFPORT-BILOXI                     10.78

...TENNESSEE...
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE              5.09
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE                  4.95
CLARKSVILLE 14.4 WSW                 4.87
LORETTO 2.8 NNW                      4.50
ALEXANDRIA 0.5 SW                    4.48
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW                   4.23
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E                     4.22
LEBANON 4.0 SE                       4.21
JAMESTOWN 6.7 W                      4.07

...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW                   3.12
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                 3.04
JASPER 6.7 W                         2.12


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER GERHARDT

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 05/1500Z 30.5N 89.9W
12HR VT 06/0000Z 32.1N 87.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 06/1200Z 34.3N 84.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 07/0000Z 34.7N 83.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 07/1200Z 36.0N 82.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
$$



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