[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Sep 4 00:54:23 CDT 2011
WTNT33 KNHC 040555
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
100 AM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011
CORRECTED WIND SPEED TO 45 MPH IN DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
...LEE A LITTLE WEAKER...VERY NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA...
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.5N 92.6W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM W OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SW OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF LOUISIANA NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST.
LEE IS MOVING VERY SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. A
SLOW NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF LEE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE THE LOUISIANA
COAST IN A FEW HOURS...AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM
FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER.
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES THROUGH MONDAY. THESE RAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...
AND ALABAMA COASTS...INCLUDING MOBILE BAY.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND
THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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