[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLCH 021715
HLSLCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1215 PM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

...DEPRESSION NEARLY STATIONARY SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA COAST...

.NEW INFORMATION...
WINDS AND WAVE HEIGHTS UPDATED.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...UPPER ST.
MARTIN...CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA...ST. MARY AND LOWER ST.
MARTIN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND BAYS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3N...LONGITUDE 91.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT
200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAMERON LA...OR ABOUT 150 MILES
SOUTH OF MORGAN CITY LA. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES
AT 2 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 35 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO
DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU ARE
RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO BE MOVING SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF A
PROLONGED RAIN EVENT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES AROUND 5 PM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

LAZ043>045-052>055-031715-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-
1215 PM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.
CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGER FOR SANDBAG LOCATIONS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 70 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...INLAND FLOODING...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 IS GOING TO BE A VERY SLOW MOVING SYSTEM
AND THIS COULD LEAD TO EXCESSIVE RAIN TOTALS OVER THE NEXT
5 DAYS. HEAVY RAINFALL BETWEEN 6 AND 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.
RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MINIMAL. TIDES WILL RUN ONE TO THREE FEET ABOVE NORMAL.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 65 MPH. MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY
MOBILE HOMES... ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR
CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE
AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND
SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND
MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED
DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES MAINLY FROM STRONGER STORMS
WITHIN SPIRAL BANDS THAT MOVE ASHORE FROM COASTAL AREAS. THE
TORNADO THREAT MAY INCREASE FARTHER INLAND OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE
DEPRESSION MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES SLOWLY OVER THE REGION.

$$

LAZ041-042-051-031715-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-CAMERON-
1215 PM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 61 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...INLAND FLOODING...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 IS GOING TO BE A VERY SLOW MOVING SYSTEM
AND THIS COULD LEAD TO HEAVY RAIN TOTALS OVER THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
HEAVY RAINFALL BETWEEN 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE
COULD PRODUCE SOME MINOR STREET FLOODING. FORTUNATELY RIVER
LEVELS ARE LOW AND SOIL CONDITIONS ARE VERY DRY SO IT WILL TAKE
SOME TIME TO FILL UP THE BASINS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MINIMAL. TIDES WILL RUN ONE TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY EVENING.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 45 MPH. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH
AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN
AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF
NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

$$

GMZ432-435-452-455-472-475-031715-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1215 PM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 75 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOTS RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8 TO 11 FEET THIS AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 9 TO 12 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE ON SATURDAY REACHING MAX WAVE HEIGHTS BETWEEN
13 TO 18 FEET BY SATURDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TROPICAL WATERSPOUTS OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS WITH SOME POSSIBLY ENCROACHING ONTO BEACHES AND MARSHES
BEFORE DISSIPATING. WATERSPOUTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER LAKES AND
BAYS.

$$

GMZ430-450-470-031715-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SABINE LAKE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1215 PM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 52 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SATURDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
40 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FEET THIS AFTERNOON WITH MAX
WAVE HEIGHTS BETWEEN 10 TO 12 FEET BY LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY
SUNDAY.

$$

06


This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net