[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT33 KNHC 281144
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182011
700 AM CDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...RINA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.3N 86.9W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM N OF CANCUN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...70 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA
ALLEN TO SAN FELIPE

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST. RINA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 4 MPH...6 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. RINA
SHOULD THEN BEGIN A SOUTHWARD DRIFT BACK TOWARD THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA AND REMAIN THERE FOR A FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...70 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA OVER
WATER TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS
FORECAST...AND RINA COULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN.  THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS MORNING.

RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGH
TODAY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST....
PRIMARILY ON COZUMEL AND EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN. THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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