[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 26 12:36:40 CDT 2011


WTNT43 KNHC 261736
TCDAT3

HURRICANE RINA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182011
1230 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2011

A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING RINA REPORTED THAT
THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS RISEN TO 982 MB...WITH FLIGHT-LEVEL AND
SFMR WINDS THAT...AT THE MOST...SUPPORT AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 75
KT.  THUS...A SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED IN PLACE OF THE
REGULARLY SCHEDULED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY TO SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE
THE INTENSITY FORECAST.  THERE ARE A FEW MINOR CHANGES TO THE
PREVIOUS WIND RADII FORECAST AND NO CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK
FORECAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  26/1730Z 18.1N  85.8W   75 KT  85 MPH
 12H  27/0000Z 18.5N  86.2W   70 KT  80 MPH
 24H  27/1200Z 19.5N  87.0W   70 KT  80 MPH
 36H  28/0000Z 20.8N  87.1W   65 KT  75 MPH...INLAND
 48H  28/1200Z 22.0N  87.0W   65 KT  75 MPH...OVER WATER
 72H  29/1200Z 23.0N  85.0W   55 KT  65 MPH
 96H  30/1200Z 23.5N  83.0W   45 KT  50 MPH
120H  31/1200Z 23.5N  82.5W   35 KT  40 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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