[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 210544
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA ABOUT 150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HONDURAS-NICARAGUA BORDER.
ALTHOUGH THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...
ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO ONLY
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND PROXIMITY TO DRY AIR
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER A FEW DAYS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHWARD.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS DIMINISHED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING
LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net