[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jul 28 18:38:04 CDT 2011


WTNT34 KNHC 282337
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042011
700 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...DON JOGS TEMPORARILY WESTWARD...EXPECTED TO RESUME A
WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST MOTION TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 91.8W
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM ESE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TEXAS COAST FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO SAN LUIS PASS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TEXAS COAST SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------

AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST.  DATA FROM
A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT DON HAS JOGGED WESTWARD
OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT THE STORM SHOULD RESUME A
WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...TONIGHT.
A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF DON SHOULD APPROACH THE TEXAS COAST ON FRIDAY...AND THEN MAKE
LANDFALL ALONG THE TEXAS COAST FRIDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA BY LATE FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WATCH AREA BY LATE FRIDAY.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...MAINLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
NEAR AND TO THE NORTHEAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING
WAVES.

RAINFALL...DON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST WESTWARD INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 7 INCHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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