[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 170533
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN JUL 17 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING ABOUT 125 MILES
EAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.  HOWEVER...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INDICATE THAT PRESSURES ARE HIGH IN THE AREA AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS
OF A ORGANIZED WIND CIRCULATION.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT COULD BECOME A
LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE ...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTH.  AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS
SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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