[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 280737
HLSPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
337 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...HURRICANE IRENE WILL HAVE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS THROUGH SUNDAY...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN
MARYLAND...AS WELL AS ON THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE AND ON DELAWARE BAY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...NEW
CASTLE...KENT...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES...TALBOT...
CAROLINE...MIDDLESEX...WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN MONMOUTH...
SALEM...GLOUCESTER...CAMDEN...NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...OCEAN...
CUMBERLAND...ATLANTIC...CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...
COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL OCEAN...SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON...
DELAWARE AND PHILADELPHIA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
CECIL...KENT MD...QUEEN ANNES...SUSSEX...WARREN...MORRIS...
HUNTERDON...SOMERSET...MERCER...CARBON...MONROE...BERKS...
LEHIGH...NORTHAMPTON...CHESTER...MONTGOMERY AND BUCKS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PHILADELPHIA QUAD STATE
REGION. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT
BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF PHILADELPHIA QUAD
STATE REGION...NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY TORNADO WARNINGS THAT
MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 3 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.1N...LONGITUDE 75.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 90 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ...OR ABOUT 70 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DOVER DE. STORM MOTION WAS NNE OR 20 DEGREES
AT 17 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 80 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE IRENE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD PARALLEL TO THE
EAST COAST...WITH THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING VERY CLOSE
TO THE COASTS OF DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. THE STORM WILL BRING DAMAGING WINDS...TORRENTIAL RAIN
WITH DANGEROUS FLOODING...AND COASTAL FLOODING.

OVERALL...A TOTAL 6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 14 INCHES. HEAVY AND POSSIBLY RECORD
SETTING RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH SUNDAY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
MAJOR FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY...EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND. SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS ARE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. THE RARITAN
AND SCHUYLKILL RIVERS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO REACT RATHER QUICKLY
AND ARE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING. THE DELAWARE...SUSQUEHANNA
AND PASSAIC RIVERS REACT MORE SLOWLY. HOWEVER...THEY ALSO ARE
HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING FROM THIS RAINFALL EVENT.

FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF THE REGION...WITH
MANY LOCATIONS FORECAST TO EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF
HURRICANE IRENE.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK
OF THE HURRICANE...AS IRENE IS A LARGE STORM. THIS IS A DANGEROUS
SITUATION. REMAIN IN A SAFE LOCATION UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CAPE MAY COUNTY...NEW
JERSEY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR FLOOD PRONE AREAS OF
ATLANTIC COUNTY...NEW JERSEY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR LONG BEACH ISLAND IN OCEAN
COUNTY...NEW JERSEY.

VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERKELEY TOWNSHIP IN
OCEAN COUNTY...NEW JERSEY.

MAJOR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS IN NEW JERSEY AND PENNSYLVANIA HAVE
SUSPENDED OPERATIONS. A NUMBER OF BRIDGES ARE CLOSED. PLEASE
MONITOR MEDIA BROADCASTS REGARDING THE STATUS OF
EVACUATIONS...TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS AND SHELTERS.

IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT RESIDENTS AND VISITORS FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF
LOCAL OFFICIALS REGARDING EVACUATIONS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS OR IF YOUR HOME
IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. PREPARE FOR POWER OUTAGES
THAT COULD LAST FOR MANY DAYS. MAKE SURE THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS A
FULL TANK OF GAS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION, PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS FOR YOUR LOCATION AS
DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY AROUND 600 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

MDZ008-012-015-NJZ001-007>010-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-
290745-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-
BUCKS-
337 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 100 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO
60 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS OR CARPORTS. POORLY
CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF
REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. SOME
LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN
POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE
SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR
UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS
EXPECTED.

$$

DEZ001>004-MDZ019-020-NJZ012>014-016>027-PAZ070-071-290745-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
337 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 48 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 100 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO
60 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH.

DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. POORLY ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE
DESTROYED...ALONG WITH THOSE OF OLD OR POOR CONSTRUCTION. SOME
WELL ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...WALLS AND WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. SOME
HOMES OF FRAME CONSTRUCTION WILL SUSTAIN PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF
FAILURE...AND POSSIBLY BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL
BE BLOWN ABOUT...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY.
MANY AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE POWER OUTAGES WITH SOME DOWNED POWER
POLES. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP. SOME
TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE GROUND IS SATURATED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTED TIDES
IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST SOUTH OF BARNEGAT INLET AND
ALONG THE DELAWARE COAST. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS EXPECTED
FOR THE NEW JERSEY COAST NORTH OF BARNEGAT INLET.

THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE VALUES WILL RESULT IN SEVERE TIDAL
FLOODING THIS MORNING IN MONMOUTH COUNTY AND OCEAN COUNTY IN NEW
JERSEY. THE VALUES WILL RESULT IN MODERATE TO SEVERE TIDAL
FLOODING THIS MORNING IN ATLANTIC COUNTY AND CAPE MAY COUNTY IN
NEW JERSEY...AS WELL AS IN SUSSEX COUNTY...DELAWARE.

A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTED TIDES
IS EXPECTED ON DELAWARE BAY AND ON THE TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER. THESE
VALUES WILL RESULT IN MODERATE TO SEVERE TIDAL FLOODING THIS
MORNING ALONG DELAWARE BAY. MODERATE TO SEVERE TIDAL FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED FOR THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER FROM THIS MORNING INTO
THE EARLY AFTERNOON INCLUDING THE ADDITIONAL CONTRIBUTION FROM THE
HEAVY RAINFALL.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES...AROUND 20 FEET
HIGH...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY COASTLINE
INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

...RIP CURRENTS...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. DO
NOT ENTER THE SURF.

$$

ANZ430-431-450>455-290745-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
337 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 66 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 100 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 55 KNOTS RANGE
WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS.

THE SEAS WILL REACH AT LEAST 20 FEET ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS.
WAVES SHOULD BE 5 TO 10 FEET ON DELAWARE BAY...UP TO 15 FEET AT
THE ENTRANCE TO THE BAY.

$$

ANZ470-290745-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM-
337 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 75
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS 94 TO 100 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 60 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75
KNOTS.

SEAS ON THE ATLANTIC OUTER COASTAL WATERS MAY REACH OR EXCEED 25
FEET OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

$$





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