[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 270416
HLSPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1216 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT THE REGION
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THE 1100 PM EDT LOCATION FOR HURRICANE IRENE.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN
DELAWARE...NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...AS WELL AS ON THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE AND ON DELAWARE BAY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...NEW
CASTLE...KENT...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES...TALBOT...
CAROLINE...MIDDLESEX...WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN MONMOUTH...
SALEM...GLOUCESTER...CAMDEN...NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...OCEAN...
CUMBERLAND...ATLANTIC...CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...
COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL OCEAN...SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON...
DELAWARE AND PHILADELPHIA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
CECIL...KENT MD...QUEEN ANNES...MORRIS...HUNTERDON...SOMERSET...
MERCER...CHESTER...MONTGOMERY AND BUCKS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW
JERSEY...DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.6N...LONGITUDE 76.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ...OR ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF DOVER
DE. STORM MOTION WAS NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 13 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 100 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH ALONG THE
EAST COAST THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE
PASSING VERY CLOSE TO THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS SUNDAY.
THE STORM WILL BRING DAMAGING WINDS...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL
RESULTING IN DANGEROUS FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND
RIVERS...AND COASTAL FLOODING.

OVERALL...6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...WITH A FEW
LOCATIONS SEEING OVER 12 INCHES. HEAVY AND POSSIBLY RECORD SETTING
RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE SATURDAY TO SUNDAY TIME FRAME WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN MAJOR FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY...EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE AND THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.
THE RARITAN AND SCHUYLKILL RIVERS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO REACT
RATHER QUICKLY AND ALSO ARE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING. THE
DELAWARE...SUSQUEHANNA...RANCOCAS AND PASSAIC RIVERS REACT MORE
SLOWLY...BUT THEY ALSO ARE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING FROM
THIS RAINFALL EVENT.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK
AS THIS HURRICANE IS A LARGE STORM. THIS IS A DANGEROUS
SITUATION... THEREFORE EVERYONE IS URGED COMPLETE THEIR
PREPARATIONS TODAY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CAPE MAY COUNTY...NEW
JERSEY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR LONG BEACH ISLAND...NEW
JERSEY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COUNTY...NEW JERSEY.

VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERKELEY TOWNSHIP IN
OCEAN COUNTY...NEW JERSEY.

SOME MAJOR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS IN NEW JERSEY WILL BE HALTED AT
NOON SATURDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. AT LEAST ONE BRIDGE WILL BE
CLOSED BEGINNING AT 6PM SATURDAY. PLEASE MONITOR ALL MEDIA
BROADCASTS REGARDING THE STATUS OF EVACUATIONS...TRANSPORTATION
SYSTEMS AND SHELTERS.

IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT RESIDENTS AND VISITORS FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF
LOCAL OFFICIALS WHEN EVACUATIONS ARE ORDERED.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR THE
PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY
LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR
FLOODING. PREPARE FOR POWER OUTAGES THAT COULD POTENTIALLY LAST
LONG PERIODS OF TIME... AND MAKE SURE THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS A FULL
TANK OF FUEL.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS, DOCKS AND MARINAS, URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT, MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION, PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS
FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY AROUND 330 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

MDZ008-012-015-NJZ008>010-015-PAZ067>069-280415-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
1216 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP
TO 63 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 75 MPH.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS
POSSIBLE. THIS HOWEVER WILL DEPEND ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY
AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

$$

DEZ001>004-MDZ019-020-NJZ012>014-016>027-PAZ070-071-280415-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
1216 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 84 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 45 TO 65 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 85 MPH.

DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. POORLY ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE
DESTROYED...ALONG WITH THOSE OF OLD OR POOR CONSTRUCTION. SOME
WELL ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...WALLS...AND WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. SOME
HOMES OF FRAME CONSTRUCTION WILL SUSTAIN PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF
FAILURE...AND POSSIBLY BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL
BE BLOWN ABOUT...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY.
MANY AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE POWER OUTAGES WITH SOME DOWNED POWER
POLES. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP. SOME
TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE GROUND IS SATURATED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MUCH DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE
SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...A
STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINE AND DELAWARE BAY SHORE. A 1 TO 3 FEET SURGE IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.

.INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS
OCCUR.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES...AROUND 20 FEET
HIGH...ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE AND OUTER DELAWARE BAY SHORE
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

...RIP CURRENTS...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THEREFORE EVERYONE IS URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

$$

ANZ430-431-450>455-280415-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1216 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 15 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 86 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. THE SEAS WILL
QUICKLY BUILD AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE ARRIVES...WITH
HEIGHTS REACHING AT LEAST 20 FEET ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND 5 TO
10 FEET ON DELAWARE BAY WITH UP TO 15 FEET AT THE ENTRANCE.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS TO OCCUR IN RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE HURRICANE SUNDAY MORNING. THIS POTENTIAL WILL ULTIMATELY
DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORMS CENTER.

$$

ANZ470-280415-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM-
1216 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 8 TO 18
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS UP TO 87 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS LATE SATURDAY EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEAS ON THESE
ATLANTIC OUTER COASTAL WATERS MAY REACH OR EXCEED 25 FEET FOR A
TIME SUNDAY MORNING.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS TO OCCUR IN RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE HURRICANE SUNDAY MORNING. THIS POTENTIAL WILL ULTIMATELY
DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORMS CENTER.

$$




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