[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 261717
HLSPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
117 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT THE REGION
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED TO INCLUDE TALBOT AND CAROLINE COUNTIES IN SUB-SECTION WITH
SPECIFICS.
UPDATED WIND INFORMATION IN SOME SUB-SECTIONS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE IN NEW JERSEY...EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE...AND THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. THIS
STATEMENT ALSO APPLIES TO COASTAL AREAS FROM RARITAN BAY AND SANDY
HOOK NEW JERSEY TO FENWICK ISLAND DELAWARE INCLUDING ALL OF THE
DELAWARE BAY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...NEW
CASTLE...KENT...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES...TALBOT...
CAROLINE...WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN MONMOUTH...SALEM...
GLOUCESTER...CAMDEN...NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...OCEAN...
CUMBERLAND...ATLANTIC...CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...
COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL OCEAN...SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON...
DELAWARE AND PHILADELPHIA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
CECIL...KENT MD...QUEEN ANNES...MERCER...CHESTER...MONTGOMERY AND
BUCKS.

A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MIDDLESEX.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MORRIS...HUNTERDON AND SOMERSET.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE REGION. PLEASE LISTEN
CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR
AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 12 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.7N...LONGITUDE 77.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 620 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ...OR ABOUT 590 MILES SOUTH OF
DOVER DE. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH NORTHEAST
THROUGH SUNDAY, WHICH BRINGS THE CENTER VERY NEAR THE NEW JERSEY
AND DELAWARE COASTS SUNDAY. THE STORM WILL BRING DAMAGING WINDS,
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL RESULTING IN DANGEROUS FLOODING OF CREEKS,
STREAMS AND RIVERS, AND COASTAL FLOODING. THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL
ANTICIPATED IS 6 TO 12 INCHES. WHEN MAKING DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS
ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THIS HURRICANE IS A LARGE STORM.
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION, THEREFORE EVERYONE IS
URGED COMPLETE THEIR PREPARATIONS TODAY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CAPE MAY COUNTY, NEW JERSEY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR LONG BEACH ISLAND.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COUNTY, NEW JERSEY.

VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERKELEY TOWNSHIP IN OCEAN
COUNTY, NEW JERSEY.

IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT RESIDENTS AND VISITORS FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF
LOCAL OFFICIALS WHEN EVACUATIONS ARE ORDERED.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING, NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS
FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO
DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS, OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH
WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS, DOCKS AND MARINAS, URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT, MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH, CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION,
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY AROUND 300 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

NJZ008>010-262100-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
117 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 52 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START
AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SUNDAY MORNING TO EARLY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$

DEZ001>004-MDZ019-020-NJZ013-014-016>027-PAZ070-071-262100-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
117 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ADDITIONAL WIND INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 75 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
90 MPH.

DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. POORLY ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES
MAY BE DESTROYED...ALONG WITH THOSE OF OLD OR POOR CONSTRUCTION.
SOME WELL ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...WALLS...AND WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. SOME
HOMES OF FRAME CONSTRUCTION WILL SUSTAIN PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF
FAILURE...AND POSSIBLY BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL
BE BLOWN ABOUT...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY.
MANY AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE POWER OUTAGES WITH SOME DOWNED POWER
POLES. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP. SOME
TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE GROUND IS SATURATED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MUCH DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE SIZE, INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE
SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST,
A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINE AND DELAWARE BAY SHORE. A 1 TO 3 FEET SURGE IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINE AND DELAWARE BAY SHORE.

...RIP CURRENTS...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THEREFORE EVERYONE IS URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

$$

MDZ008-012-015-NJZ015-PAZ067>069-262100-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-MERCER-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
117 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ADDITIONAL WIND INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 55 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
70 MPH.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE, A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS
POSSIBLE. THIS HOWEVER WILL DEPEND ON THE PRECISE SIZE, INTENSITY
AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM.

$$

NJZ012-262100-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MIDDLESEX-
117 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
52 TO 57 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY EVENING.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO
BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA LATE SATURDAY EVENING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MUCH DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE SIZE, INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE
SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST,
A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL EROSION AND BATTERING WAVES MAY OCCUR AS
WATER IS PUSHED INTO RARITAN BAY.

$$

ANZ430-431-450>455-262100-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
117 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 16 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 77 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 55 TO 75 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. THE SEAS WILL
QUICKLY BUILD AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE ARRIVES, WITH
HEIGHTS REACHING NEAR 20 FEET.

...WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS TO OCCUR IN RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE. THIS POTENTIAL WILL ULTIMATELY
DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORMS CENTER.

$$

ANZ470-262100-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM-
117 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
20 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 77 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY
TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 55 TO 75 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. THE SEAS WILL
QUICKLY BUILD AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE ARRIVES, WITH
HEIGHTS REACHING NEAR 25 FEET.

...WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS TO OCCUR IN RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE. THIS POTENTIAL WILL ULTIMATELY
DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORMS CENTER.

$$

MANNING/DELISI




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