[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 261343
HLSPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
943 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT THE REGION
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM LOCATION.
UPDATED TO ADD HUNTERDON COUNTY NJ.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE IN NEW JERSEY...EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE...AND THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. THIS
STATEMENT ALSO APPLIES TO COASTAL AREAS FROM RARITAN BAY AND SANDY
HOOK NEW JERSEY TO FENWICK ISLAND DELAWARE INCLUDING ALL OF THE
DELAWARE BAY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...NEW
CASTLE...KENT...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES...WESTERN
MONMOUTH...EASTERN MONMOUTH...SALEM...GLOUCESTER...CAMDEN...
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...OCEAN...CUMBERLAND...ATLANTIC...CAPE
MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL
OCEAN...SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON...DELAWARE AND PHILADELPHIA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
CECIL...KENT MD...QUEEN ANNES...TALBOT...CAROLINE...MERCER...
CHESTER...MONTGOMERY AND BUCKS.

A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MIDDLESEX.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MORRIS...HUNTERDON AND SOMERSET.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE REGION. PLEASE LISTEN
CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR
AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.0N...LONGITUDE 77.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTH
OF DOVER DE...OR ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE MAY NJ.
STORM MOTION WAS N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
110 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH NORTHEAST
THROUGH SUNDAY, WHICH BRINGS THE CENTER VERY NEAR THE NEW JERSEY
AND DELAWARE COASTS SUNDAY. THE STORM WILL BRING DAMAGING WINDS,
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND COASTAL FLOODING. THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL
ANTICIPATED IS 6 TO 12 INCHES. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN IN COMBINATION
WITH A WET MONTH WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD FLOODING. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR FLOODING IN SOME LOCATIONS. WHEN MAKING
DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THIS
HURRICANE IS A LARGE STORM. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS
SITUATION, THEREFORE EVERYONE IS URGED COMPLETE THEIR PREPARATIONS
TODAY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CAPE MAY COUNTY, NEW JERSEY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR LONG BEACH ISLAND, AND
BERKELEY TOWNSHIP IN OCEAN COUNTY, NEW JERSEY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COUNTY, NEW JERSEY.

IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT RESIDENTS AND VISITORS FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF
LOCAL OFFICIALS WHEN EVACUATIONS ARE ORDERED.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING, NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS
FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO
DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS, OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH
WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS, DOCKS AND MARINAS, URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT, MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH, CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION,
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY AROUND NOON EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

NJZ008-010-271345-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MORRIS-SOMERSET-
943 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
51 TO 61 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START
AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

$$

NJZ009-271345-
/O.EXA.KPHI.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
HUNTERDON-
943 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED. A MORE DETAILED
STATEMENT WILL FOLLOW IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

$$

DEZ001>004-NJZ013-014-016>027-PAZ070-071-271345-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
943 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 82 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MUCH DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE SIZE, INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE
SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST,
A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. HEAVY AND
POSSIBLY RECORD SETTING RAINFALL AMOUNTS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MAY
RESULT IN MAJOR FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
HERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION ALONG WITH
BATTERING WAVES.

...RIP CURRENTS...
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. CONDITIONS IN THE SURF ZONE
WILL BECOME DANGEROUS, THEREFORE EVERYONE IS URGED TO STAY OUT OF
THE WATER.

$$

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ015-PAZ067>069-271345-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MERCER-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
943 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES, SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH.
MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES, ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES, AWNINGS OR CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED
HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL.
OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE
OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE. SOME POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN
POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE
SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR
UPROOTED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 70 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR MARYLANDS EASTERN SHORE, A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS
POSSIBLE. THIS HOWEVER WILL DEPEND ON THE PRECISE SIZE, INTENSITY
AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. HEAVY AND
POSSIBLY RECORD SETTING RAINFALL AMOUNTS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MAY
RESULT IN MAJOR FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA.

$$

NJZ012-271345-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MIDDLESEX-
943 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO, THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 61
TO 66 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START
AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER, THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS WILL INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SUNDAY MORNING TO EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MUCH DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE SIZE, INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE
SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST,
A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. HEAVY AND
POSSIBLY RECORD SETTING RAINFALL AMOUNTS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MAY
RESULT IN MAJOR FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL EROSION AND BATTERING WAVES MAY OCCUR AS
WATER IS PUSHED INTO RARITAN BAY.

$$

ANZ430-431-450>455-271345-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
943 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 19 PERCENT. ALSO, THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 83 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY EVENING. THE ONSET
OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY SATURDAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES, SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 55 TO 75 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. THE SEAS WILL
QUICKLY BUILD AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE ARRIVES, WITH
HEIGHTS REACHING NEAR 20 FEET.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS TO OCCUR IN RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE. THIS POTENTIAL WILL ULTIMATELY
DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORMS CENTER.

$$

ANZ470-271345-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM-
943 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
23 PERCENT. ALSO, THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS UP TO 84 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY EVENING. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES, SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 55 TO 75 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. THE SEAS WILL
QUICKLY BUILD AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE ARRIVES, WITH
HEIGHTS REACHING NEAR 25 FEET.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS TO OCCUR IN RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE. THIS POTENTIAL WILL ULTIMATELY
DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORMS CENTER.

$$
MANNING



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net