[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 260608
HLSPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
208 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE WILL IMPACT THE MID ATLANTIC THIS
WEEKEND...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PHILADELPHIA QUAD STATE
REGION...NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...NEW
CASTLE...KENT...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES...WESTERN
MONMOUTH...EASTERN MONMOUTH...SALEM...GLOUCESTER...CAMDEN...
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...OCEAN...CUMBERLAND...ATLANTIC...CAPE
MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL
OCEAN...SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON...DELAWARE AND PHILADELPHIA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
CECIL...KENT MD...QUEEN ANNES...TALBOT...CAROLINE...MERCER...
CHESTER...MONTGOMERY AND BUCKS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PHILADELPHIA QUAD STATE
REGION. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT
BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED AREAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED
AREAS.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7N...LONGITUDE 77.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH OR 360
DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 115 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS AND MOVING TO THE NORTH. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO TURN
NORTH NORTHEAST, TAKING A TRACK UP THE EAST COAST AND AFFECTING
THE DELMARVA PENINSULA, NEW JERSEY AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA THIS
WEEKEND. THE STORM WILL BRING STRONG WINDS, TORRENTIAL RAINFALL
AND COASTAL FLOODING. 6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED,
WHICH COULD LEAD TO MAJOR FLOODING IN SOME LOCATIONS. WHEN MAKING
DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. IT IS TOO
EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS.

EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED IN CAPE MAY COUNTY NEW JERSEY. IT
IS IMPERATIVE THAT YOU FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS WHEN
EVACUATIONS ARE ORDERED.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NOW IS THE TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN SPECIFIC TO YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO ACTIVELY LISTEN FOR FORTHCOMING INFORMATION
FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AGENCY.

MARINERS ARE URGED TO MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN
TO PORT, SEEK SAFE HARBOR AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. NOW IS THE TIME
TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN FOR
TROPICAL SYSTEMS. MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO THE
LATEST FORECAST AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

DEZ001>004-NJZ013-014-016>027-PAZ070-071-261200-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
208 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 16 PERCENT. ALSO, THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 77 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER, THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING TO LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY EVENING. THE
STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY HURRICANE IRENE. MUCH DEPENDS ON
THE PRECISE SIZE, INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST, THERE IS A CHANCE
FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 5 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST, RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. HEAVY AND
POSSIBLY RECORD SETTING RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE SATURDAY TO SUNDAY
TIME FRAME MAY RESULT IN MAJOR FLOODING ACROSS NEW JERSEY, EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE AND THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.

...RIP CURRENTS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

$$

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ015-PAZ067>069-261200-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MERCER-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
208 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 7 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 70 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER, THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SATURDAY EVENING TO EARLY SUNDAY. THE
STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY HURRICANE IRENE. MUCH DEPENDS ON
THE PRECISE SIZE, INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST, THERE IS A CHANCE
FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 3 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST, RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. HEAVY AND
POSSIBLY RECORD SETTING RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE SATURDAY TO SUNDAY
TIME FRAME MAY RESULT IN MAJOR FLOODING ACROSS NEW JERSEY, EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE AND THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.

$$

ANZ430-431-450>455-270615-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
208 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
20 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 78 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE ONSET
OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER, THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING TO LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE AREA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

ANZ470-261200-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM-
208 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
22 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 78 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.  THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE
ONSET OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY
EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER, THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING TO EARLY SUNDAY EVENING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

GORSE




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