[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KAKQ 251637
HLSAKQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1237 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...CORE
APPROACHING ABACO ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED THE STORM POSITION AND INTENSITY.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER EASTERN
SHORE...INCLUDING THE VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...
CURRITUCK SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...INLAND CURRITUCK...BERTIE...CHOWAN...
PERQUIMANS AND OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS
OF CURRITUCK SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...DORCHESTER...WICOMICO...SOMERSET...
INLAND WORCESTER...MARYLAND BEACHES...GATES...NORTHUMBERLAND...
LANCASTER...GLOUCESTER...MIDDLESEX...MATHEWS...YORK...ISLE OF
WIGHT...NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON...NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH...SUFFOLK...
CHESAPEAKE...VIRGINIA BEACH...ACCOMACK AND NORTHAMPTON VA...THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY AND COASTAL WATERS ADJACENT TO THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A
CONCERN. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE ISSUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9N...LONGITUDE 76.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 860 MILES SOUTH
OF OCEAN CITY MD...OR ABOUT 740 MILES SOUTH OF NC/VA BORDER.
STORM MOTION WAS NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 115 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES
FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS...BUT A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF EXTENSIVE DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN EASTERN
VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND LOWER PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
SHORE OF MARYLAND.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED. ALL PREPARATIONS FOR THE STORM SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY
FRIDAY EVENING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
AGAIN...IT IS ENCOURAGED THAT ALL PREPARATIONS FOR THE STORM
SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY FRIDAY EVENING.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ANZ633-NCZ015>017-030>032-102-261645-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CURRITUCK SOUND-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-BERTIE-CHOWAN-
PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-
1237 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH
WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO
FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM
IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION
ZONES.

ITEMS TO BRING TO A SHELTER INCLUDE A FIRST AID KIT...MEDICINES
AND PRESCRIPTIONS...BABY FOOD AND DIAPERS...GAMES AND BOOKS...
TOILETRIES...A BATTERY POWERED RADIO...A CELL PHONE...FLASHLIGHTS
WITH EXTRA BATTERIES...A BLANKET OR SLEEPING BAG FOR EACH
PERSON...PERSONAL IDENTIFICATION...COPIES OF KEY PAPERS SUCH AS
INSURANCE POLICIES...AVAILABLE CASH AND CREDIT CARDS. REMEMBER...
PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST PUBLIC SHELTERS...SO CHECK AHEAD
WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

REGARDING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS...COVER ALL WINDOWS AND DOORS
WITH SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE
OBJECTS INDOORS. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS. DO THIS AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. AGAIN...IT IS ENCOURAGED
THAT ALL PREPARATIONS FOR THE STORM SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY FRIDAY
EVENING.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 71 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.THE ONSET OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY
MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SATURDAY EVENING TO SUNDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST MODERATE WIND DAMAGE AND
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...WITH A HIGHER
LIKELIHOOD OF DAMAGE CLOSER TO THE COAST.

ON THE ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS...SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE AS THE WINDS INCREASE ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH WAVES 3 TO 6 FEET POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY HURRICANE IRENE. MUCH DEPENDS ON
THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS 5
TO 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...
RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IRENE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIEST
RAIN EXPECTED FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA. DESPITE THE ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS THAT HAVE
EXISTED FOR THE LAST FEW MONTHS...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING OF AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS
ALONG WITH LOW LYING ROADS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE IS BE A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES
TODAY. WITH THE INCREASING SWELL THAT IS EXPECTED IN ADVANCE OF
HURRICANE IRENE...THE THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND ROUGH SURF WILL ALSO BE A
THREAT FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. DUE TO RIP CURRENTS AND VERY
ROUGH SURF...BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

$$

ANZ658-261645-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
TO 20 NM-
1237 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 10 TO
14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 66 TO 71 PERCENT. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING. THE ONSET OF
HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
WHILE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST FROM EARLY
SATURDAY EVENING TO SUNDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD TODAY
IN ADVANCE OF IRENE AND CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN SIZE THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS COULD BE AS HIGH AS 15 TO 20 FEET AT THE
HEIGHT OF THE STORM.

$$

MDZ021>025-NCZ014-VAZ077-078-084>086-091-093>100-261645-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.HU.S.1009.110825T1637Z-000000T0000Z/
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
GATES-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-YORK-
ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-
CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
1237 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...HURRICANE IRENE EXPECTED TO MAKE IMPACT THIS WEEKEND...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EVERYONE IS STRONGLY URGED TO STAY INFORMED. IF EARLY EVACUATION
ORDERS ARE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA...STAY CALM AND TAKE THE NECESSARY
STEPS TO LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE AND IN AN ORDERLY FASHION.

MAKE PLANS TO EVACUATE IF YOU LIVE ON THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND
BARRIER ISLANDS...OR IN A HIGH RISE BUILDING...OR IN A MOBILE
HOME...OR IN A PLACE THAT FLOODS EASILY. BE READY TO ACT IF A
WATCH OR WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 65 PERCENT. THE ONSET OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY
MORNING.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE LIKELY TO BE ISSUED IN
THE NEAR FUTURE. AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS
FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...39 MPH UP TO 65 MPH...FROM LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE IN
AREAS ALONG AND CLOSE TO THE COAST. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH COULD TOPPLE TREES
AND DOWN POWER LINES SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WHILE IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO GIVE SPECIFIC STORM SURGE
VALUES...GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE TRACK AND TIMING OF
HURRICANE IRENE...THE CURRENT TRACK OF THE STORM COULD PRODUCE
HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST LINE AND
FOR AREAS ALONG BOTH SIDES OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY. GIVEN THE
CURRENT TRACK AND BASED UPON HISTORICAL DATA FROM PREVIOUS
STORMS...A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET OF WATER IS POSSIBLE ABOVE
THE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDE. THIS COULD LEAD TO MODERATE TO
POTENTIALLY SEVERE COASTAL FLOODING.

...INLAND FLOODING...
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED WITH HURRICANE IRENE. ALONG THE
TRACK OF THE STORM...RAINFALL OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN IS
POSSIBLE...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS AT THIS TIME EXPECTED CLOSER
TO THE COAST.

$$

ANZ630>632-650-652-654-656-261645-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.HU.S.1009.110825T1637Z-000000T0000Z/
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO
20 NM-
1237 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...HURRICANE IRENE EXPECTED TO MAKE IMPACT THIS WEEKEND...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO RETURN TO PORT OR
TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR. TAKE EARLY STEPS TO SECURE YOUR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 67 PERCENT. THE ONSET OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY
MORNING. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE LIKELY TO BE ISSUED IN
THE NEAR FUTURE. AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS
FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FROM SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT TO EARLY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING. SEAS ARE
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BUILD TODAY AND FRIDAY...REACHING A PEAK OF
15 TO 20 FEET ON THE COASTAL WATERS AND 6 TO 9 FEET ON THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...AS HURRICANE IRENE PASSES THE AREA.

$$






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