[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 251006
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
606 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...AWAITED IMPACTS FROM MAJOR HURRICANE IRENE ARRIVE TODAY...

.NEW INFORMATION...
SUPPORTING ADVISORIES ARE HIGHLIGHTED FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES...
TO INCLUDE A WIND ADVISORY...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY... AND A HIGH
RIP CURRENT RISK.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE
JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
OUT TO 20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.

OVER LAND...ALTHOUGH TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT
IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...
SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...AND VOLUSIA...IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS
ARE STILL A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN. AS RESULT...A WIND ADVISORY AND
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY ARE BOTH IN EFFECT TODAY...ALONG WITH A HIGH
RIP CURRENT RISK.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 380 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA...OR ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF FORT PIERCE FLORIDA. IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
NEAR 12 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BY EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
IRENE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE IRENE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS THIS MORNING AND EMERGE INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS BY LATE
AFTERNOON. IRENE WILL THEN PASS EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS A RATHER LARGE AND POWERFUL MAJOR HURRICANE.

ALTHOUGH THERE HAVE BEEN SOME SMALL WESTWARD ADJUSTMENTS TO THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IRENE IS STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN
AROUND 175 TO 200 MILES OFFSHORE. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED FOR LAND AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
HOWEVER...COASTAL RESIDENTS AND MARINE INTERESTS ARE URGED TO
STAY INFORMED OF THE LATEST FORECAST GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF MAJOR
HURRICANE IRENE.

BY LATE MORNING...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN
DEVELOPING OVER THE WATERS BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES FROM THE
TREASURE COAST...AND SPREAD NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY. ALSO BY LATE
MORNING AND WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE TREASURE COAST...WIND
GUSTS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BEGIN TO OCCUR AS THE OUTER
REACHES OF IRENE ENCROACH UPON THESE WATERS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...WHETHER SUSTAINED OFFSHORE OR GUSTY NEARSHORE...WILL
OVERSPREAD THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AS IRENE MOVES NORTH. THE SEAS OFFSHORE ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME DANGEROUS AND BUILD TO 20 TO 25 FEET...WITH NEARSHORE SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 TO 16 FEET.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL LAND AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO NEAR 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF
35 TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. NEAR THE COAST...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER THE INTRACOASTAL WATERS AND BARRIER ISLANDS
TODAY INTO FRIDAY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA COAST. DANGEROUS POUNDING SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO
12 FEET ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ALONG AREA BEACHES. THE COMBINATION OF
LARGE LONG PERIOD SWELLS AND STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL PRODUCE
MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG AREA BEACHES. ALSO...THE RIP
CURRENT RISK IS HIGH. THE RISK WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY TODAY AND
REMAIN A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN INTO THE WEEKEND.

LARGE BATTERING WAVES MAY ALSO POSE A HAZARD TO VULNERABLE PIERS
WHICH MAY BE DAMAGED FROM LARGE BREAKING WAVES.

THOUGH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED...THERE WILL BE A LOW
THREAT FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING RAIN ALONG THE COAST LATER TODAY INTO
FRIDAY ASSOCIATED WITH PASSING SQUALLS. ISOLATED TORNADOES AND
WATERSPOUTS ALSO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN OUTER RAIN BANDS...AND
MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR MARINERS...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT WITH THEIR CRAFT
SECURED. INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...SHOULD BE ON
GUARD FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

LIFE GUARDS...BEACH PATROLS...AND BEACH STEWARDS SHOULD PREPARE
THE BEACHES FOR HIGH SURF...LARGE BREAKING WAVES...AND TROPICAL
STORM WIND GUSTS. FOR THOSE WHO DO VENTURE TO THE BEACH...IT IS
STRONGLY RECOMMENDED TO NOT ENTER THE HIGH SURF TODAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND. TO DO SO WOULD GREATLY RISK YOUR LIFE.

DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS...HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ALONG
COASTAL ROUTES AND OVER CAUSEWAYS.

COASTAL RESIDENTS AND BUSINESS SHOULD SECURE ANY OUTDOOR OBJECTS
THAT ARE LOOSE AND LIGHT WEIGHT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND NOON EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ570-572-575-261015-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
606 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
FOR THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN 20 TO
60 NAUTICAL MILES FROM SHORE...AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL GIVE WAY TO TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS BEGINNING LATE
THIS MORNING SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET. THESE SAME CONDITIONS WILL
STEADILY OVERSPREAD THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS DURING THE DAY AND
CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. SEAS WILL BECOME DANGEROUS AND BUILDING TO
20 TO 25 FEET.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-261015-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
606 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS AROUND
38 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
FOR THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 20 NAUTICAL
MILES...AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...SUSTAINED WINDS OF
15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS BY LATER THIS
MORNING. THEN...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS BY THIS
EVENING. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET AND
SPREAD NORTH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS ALL OF THE WATERS IN ANY FAST MOVING RAIN SQUALLS. SEAS
WILL BUILD TO 12 TO 16 FEET.

THE WINDS COULD BECOME SOMEWHAT HIGHER IF IRENE MOVES A LITTLE
WEST OF THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. IF SO...LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS OVER THESE WATERS.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-261015-
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.S.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
606 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED NEAR THE COAST...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FOR ALL BEACHES...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE ONSET OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO
OCCUR.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ALONG COASTAL AREAS
BY LATE MORNING AS MAJOR HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES. WIND GUSTS IN
SQUALLS ALONG THE COAST MAY REACH 40 TO 45 MPH TODAY INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY DURING THE TIME WHEN IRENE MAKES ITS
CLOSEST APPROACH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL WITH THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE IRENE REMAINING WELL OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...HIGH SURF AND
LARGE SWELLS WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT EROSION AND LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING IN VULNERABLE
AREAS. THE THREAT FOR BEACH EROSION WILL LAST THROUGH THE HIGH
TIDE CYCLES FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES
INTO SATURDAY WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 6 AM AND 6 PM. ALSO...THE
RIP CURRENT RISK IS HIGH TODAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. EVERYONE IS
STRONGLY ADVISED TO STAY OUT OF THE SURF.

$$




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