[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 24 17:14:49 CDT 2011


WTUS82 KMLB 242215
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
615 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...MAJOR HURRICANE IRENE MOVING THROUGH THE BAHAMAS THIS EVENING...

.NEW INFORMATION...
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE BEACHES OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE
ATLANTIC WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE FLAGLER BEACH
TO JUPITER INLET.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS OUT TO
20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET.

ALTHOUGH NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT
LUCIE...MARTIN...AND COASTAL VOLUSIA POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED
HAZARDS ARE STILL A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 520
MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FL...OR ABOUT 470 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHWEST AT 12
MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 120 MPH...MAKING IRENE A
DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. THE LATEST
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 954 MB OR 28.17 INCHES.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE IRENE IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE BAHAMAS THIS
EVENING...AND IS FORECAST TO EMERGE INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST
OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING AS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED FOR LAND AREAS OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA AT THIS TIME. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF IRENE
CONTINUES TO KEEP THE CENTER 200 TO 250 MILES OFFSHORE.

CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY BEGIN TO DETERIORATE OVER THE EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA ATLANTIC WATERS BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED OVER THE WATERS BEGINNING THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES
FROM SHORE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE COAST IN FAST MOVING RAIN SQUALLS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

SEAS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 20 TO
25 FEET...LEADING TO DANGEROUS POUNDING SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES
OF 8 TO 12 FEET OR POSSIBLY HIGHER AT AREA BEACHES.

THE COMBINATION OF LARGE LONG PERIOD SWELLS...AND STRONG ONSHORE
FLOW COULD LEAD TO MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG AREA
BEACHES. THE THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY DURING
THE DAY ON THURSDAY.

THERE IS A LOW BUT NOTABLE THREAT FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING RAIN...AS
WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...MAINLY ALONG THE
COAST ASSOCIATED WITH THE EXPECTED OUTER RAINBANDS OF IRENE AS IT
PASSES BY OFFSHORE.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT THIS
EVENING AND RUSH PREPARATIONS TO COMPLETION FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT. SEEK SAFE HARBOR BEFORE MARINE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE LATE
TONIGHT.

AT THE BEACHES...IT IS RECOMMENDED TO NOT ENTER THE HIGH SURF
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKERS COULD KNOCK YOU DOWN AND
MAKE YOU SUSCEPTIBLE TO DROWNING. THE LARGE BATTERING WAVES MAY ALSO
POSE A HAZARD TO VULNERABLE PIERS WHICH MAY BE DAMAGED FROM LARGE
BREAKING WAVES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE
MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV AND THEN
CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 9 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ570-572-575-252215-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
615 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN
INLET AND THURSDAY EVENING NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 TO 25 FEET OFFSHORE.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-252215-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
615 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 40
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25
KNOTS ACROSS THE NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS BY THURSDAY
MORNING...AND STRENGTHEN FURTHER TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS THURSDAY
EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 12 TO 16 FEET ACROSS THE NEAR SHORE
ATLANTIC WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT INTO FRIDAY AS
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE AS HURRICANE
IRENE MOVES NORTH AWAY FROM THE AREA BY FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-252215-
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.S.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
615 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND TROPICAL STORM GUSTS EXPECTED AT
THE BEACHES THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS OPPORTUNITY TO
REVIEW THEIR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A PLAN...
MAKE ONE. FOR COMPLETE INSTRUCTIONS ON HOW TO BEST PREPARE FOR AN
APPROACHING STORM...PLEASE VISIT THE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE
AT: WWW.READY.GOV.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE ONSET OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO
OCCUR.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE PASSES OFFSHORE...PERIODS OF SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL OCCUR ALONG COASTAL AREAS. WIND GUSTS IN
SQUALLS MAY REACH 40 TO 45 MPH THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MAINLY
ALONG THE COAST AS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM HURRICANE IRENE MOVE
ONSHORE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL WITH THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE REMAINING OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...HIGH SURF AND LARGE SWELLS
WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT
EROSION AND LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO VULNERABLE AREAS.
THE THREAT FOR BEACH EROSION WILL LAST THROUGH SEVERAL HIGH TIDE
CYCLES FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES
DURING THESE DAYS WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 6 AM AND 6 PM ALONG THE
COAST. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BEACHES FROM
THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

AGAIN...IT IS STRONGLY RECOMMENDED THAT BEACH GOERS NOT ENTER THE
HIGH SURF THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

MOSES





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