[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 24 11:11:13 CDT 2011


WTUS82 KMFL 241611
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1211 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE MARINE
WATERS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY...

.NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO
DEERFIELD BEACH FROM 20 NAUTICAL MILES OUT TO THE TERRITORIAL
WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND ATLANTIC MARINE AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT
FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FROM 20 NAUTICAL MILES OUT
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY AS WELL AS THE
ATLANTIC WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF OUT TO THE
TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS. THIS DOES NOT INCLUDE BISCAYNE
BAY OR ANY OF THE ADJACENT LAND AREAS.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...METRO PALM BEACH...METRO BROWARD...
METRO MIAMI DADE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND
COASTAL MIAMI DADE...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE
STILL A CONCERN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4N...LONGITUDE 73.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 490 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL...OR ABOUT 470 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF FORT LAUDERDALE FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHWEST
OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 115 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
MAJOR HURRICANE IRENE...CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH NORTHWEST APPROXIMATELY 200
MILES EAST OF PALM BEACH COUNTY THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT AS A LARGE AND POWERFUL CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE.

AT THIS TIME...THE MAIN CONCERN WITH HURRICANE IRENE IS SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HAZARDOUS SEAS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY EXTENDING FROM 20 NAUTICAL
MILES OUT TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS. IN
ADDITION...TROPICAL STORM FORCE CONDITIONS REMAIN A POSSIBILITY
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFFSHORE OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA.

ALONG THE COAST...THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE DANGEROUS SURF...RIP
CURRENTS AND MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION...PARTICULARLY
ALONG COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY BEACHES. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WINDS
UP TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS OVER THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REGARDING ANY MARINE AREAS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT AND WELL SECURED.

REGARDING ANY MARINE AREAS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN
TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR
SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

AMZ670-251615-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
1211 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE
25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS.

SEAS WILL STEADILY BUILD TONIGHT...PEAK THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING...THEN STEADILY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE
HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH UP TO 10 TO 15 FEET. MARINERS
MUST KEEP IN MIND THAT INDIVIDUAL WAVE HEIGHTS MAY REACH UP TO
TWICE THESE WAVE HEIGHTS.

$$

AMZ650-651-671-251615-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
1211 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
AS HIGH AS 44 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE
THURSDAY EVENING REMAINS A POSSIBILITY.

SEAS WILL STEADILY BUILD TONIGHT...PEAK THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING...THEN STEADILY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE
HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH UP TO 9 TO 12 FEET. MARINERS
MUST KEEP IN MIND THAT INDIVIDUAL WAVE HEIGHTS MAY REACH UP TO
TWICE THESE WAVE HEIGHTS.

$$

AMZ630-FLZ068-072-074-168-172-173-251615-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-METRO PALM BEACH-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
1211 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...MAIN IMPACTS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME REMAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST IN THE FORM OF DANGEROUS SURF...RIP
CURRENTS...AND MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...THE ONSET OF EITHER TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN
EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTO THE BREEZY TO WINDY RANGE
FROM EARLY THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING WITH A FEW WIND GUSTS
UP TO 35 TO 45 MPH. THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR THESE GUSTS WILL
BE IN RAIN SQUALLS...MAINLY OVER PALM BEACH COUNTY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
NO STORM SURGE IMPACT IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. THE MAIN
IMPACTS ALONG THE AREA BEACHES WILL BE INCREASING SURF BEGINNING
TONIGHT...PEAKING THURSDAY...THEN SLOWLY SUBSIDING THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THE HIGHEST SURF IS EXPECTED TO REACH UP TO 8 TO 11
FEET ALONG THE PALM BEACH COUNTY BEACHES AND 4 TO 6 FEET ALONG THE
BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTY BEACHES. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
MODERATE BEACH EROSION...EXCEPT LOCALLY SEVERE EROSION ALONG THE
PALM BEACH COUNTY BEACHES. AS A RESULT...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MAY
BE REQUIRED FOR THE PALM BEACH COUNTY BEACHES.

$$






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