[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 24 05:16:25 CDT 2011
WTUS82 KMFL 241016
HLSMFL
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
616 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS
OFF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. THERE IS NO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR LAND AREAS
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...
.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS.
ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...METRO PALM BEACH...METRO BROWARD...
METRO MIAMI DADE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND
COASTAL MIAMI DADE...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE
STILL A CONCERN.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6N...LONGITUDE 72.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 570 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL...OR ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF FORT LAUDERDALE FL. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR
295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 110 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE IRENE...ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...IS FORECAST TO
MOVE EAST OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. IRENE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF
SOUTH FLORIDA...WHILE STRENGTHENING INTO A LARGE AND POWERFUL
CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE.
AT THIS TIME...THE MAIN CONCERN WITH HURRICANE IRENE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS OF PALM BEACH...BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE AREAS FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS. ALONG THE COAST THE
MAIN CONCERNS ARE HAZARDOUS SURF...RIP CURRENTS AND POSSIBLE
SEVERE BEACH EROSION...PARTICULARLY ALONG COASTAL PALM BEACH
COUNTY.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION IN CASE WATCHES ARE UPGRADED TO
WARNINGS. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
AMZ650-651-670-671-251030-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
616 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS GENERALLY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
AROUND 55 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY DECREASING TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS IS STILL PRESENT. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE
THURSDAY EVENING AND MAINLY ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS.
SEAS ACROSS THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WILL
STEADILY BUILD LATER TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...PEAK THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING...THEN STEADILY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THE HIGHEST SEAS WILL MOST LIKELY BE EXPERIENCED OVER THE ADJACENT
PALM BEACH COUNTY COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE THURSDAY NIGHT PERIOD
IN THE 10 TO 15 FOOT RANGE. MARINERS MUST KEEP IN MIND THAT INDIVIDUAL
WAVE HEIGHTS MAY REACH UP TO TWICE THESE WAVE HEIGHTS.
$$
AMZ630-FLZ068-072-074-168-172-173-251030-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-METRO PALM BEACH-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
616 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011
...NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS EXPECTED AS IRENE PASSES TO OUR EAST
EXCEPT ALONG THE COASTAL AREA BEACHES...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...THE ONSET OF EITHER TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT
IN EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL
STORM FORCE. HOWEVER...DO EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE INTO THE
BREEZY TO WINDY RANGE FROM EARLY THURSDAY THROUGH THE THURSDAY
EVENING PERIOD. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
NO STORM SURGE IMPACT IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. THE MAIN
IMPACTS ALONG THE AREA BEACHES WILL BE INCREASING SURF BEGINNING
TONIGHT...PEAKING THURSDAY...THEN SLOWLY SUBSIDING THROUGH
FRIDAY. MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION WILL BECOME A POSSIBILITY
THROUGH THIS PERIOD AS A RESULT...MAINLY ALONG THE PALM BEACH
COUNTY BEACHES. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A HIGH SURF ADVISORY
FOR THESE BEACHES THURSDAY.
$$
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