[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 232229
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
629 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2011

...HURRICANE IRENE TO BRING COASTAL AND MARINE IMPACTS TO EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...

.NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN COASTAL
LOCATIONS AND ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ATLANTIC WATERS.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT
LUCIE...MARTIN AND COASTAL VOLUSIA...COASTAL AND MARINE IMPACTS
ARE STILL A CONCERN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.5 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 770
MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FL...OR ABOUT 720 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE FL. STORM MOTION WAS WEST NORTHWEST OR
295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...

HURRICANE IRENE IS NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS THIS EVENING...AND IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE BAHAMAS ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...AND INTO THE ATLANTIC EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS A LARGE AND POWERFUL
CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE.

THOUGH THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR
LAND AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...THE CURRENT TRACK OF IRENE
CONTINUES TO KEEP THE CENTER 200 TO 250 MILES OFFSHORE. IRENE IS
EXPECTED TO BRING IMPACTS TO THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LOCAL
BEACHES THROUGH LATE WEEK.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC
WATERS BEYOND 60 NAUTICAL MILES...WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
POSSIBLE OVER THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...MAINLY BEYOND 20 MILES OFFSHORE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN FAST MOVING
RAIN SQUALLS THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

SEAS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 20 TO 30
FEET...LEADING TO DANGEROUS POUNDING SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 8
TO 10 FEET OR POSSIBLY HIGHER AT AREA BEACHES.

THE COMBINATION OF LARGE LONG PERIODS SWELLS...AND STRONG ONSHORE
FLOW WILL LEAD TO MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG AREA
BEACHES. THE THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY DURING
THE DAY ON THURSDAY...AND PEOPLE SHOULD NOT ENTER THE DANGEROUS
SURF BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

IT IS RECOMMENDED TO NOT ENTER THE HIGH SURF THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKERS COULD KNOCK YOU DOWN AND MAKE YOU
SUSCEPTIBLE TO DROWNING. THE LARGE BATTERING WAVES MAY ALSO POSE A
HAZARD TO VULNERABLE PIERS WHICH MAY BE DAMAGED FROM LARGE BREAKING
WAVES.

THOUGH THE CURRENT TRACK KEEPS THE CENTER OF IRENE WELL OFFSHORE...
YOU SHOULD STILL REMAIN AWARE OF THIS LARGE HURRICANE AND BE
PREPARED THAT TROPICAL STORM GUSTS MAY OCCUR IN SQUALLS STARTING
LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST
TRACK...TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTS CAN OCCUR WELL AWAY FROM STORM CENTER.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD RETURN TO PORT AND SECURE THEIR
VESSELS BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 9 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ555-575-242230-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
629 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 11
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS UP TO 60 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
COULD START AS EARLY AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 20 TO 25 FEET THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING.

$$

AMZ550-552-570-572-242230-
/O.NEW.KMLB.HU.S.1009.110823T2229Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
629 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2011

...TROPICAL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO RETURN TO PORT OR
TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR. TAKE EARLY STEPS TO SECURE YOUR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN 10
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS UP TO 56 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
COULD START AS EARLY AS LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS
NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET LATER TONIGHT. AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES
CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE.
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY
THURSDAY EVENING TO FRIDAY EVENING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO
20 TO 25 FEET THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-242230-
/O.NEW.KMLB.HU.S.1009.110823T2229Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
629 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2011

...HURRICANE IRENE TO BRING DANGEROUS SURF AND BEACH EROSION...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS OPPORTUNITY TO REVIEW YOUR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A PLAN...MAKE ONE. IF YOU NEED
ASSISTANCE WITH YOUR PLAN...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR AMERICAN RED CROSS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE PASSES OFFSHORE...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25
MPH WILL OCCUR ALONG COASTAL AREAS. WIND GUSTS IN SQUALLS MAY
REACH 35 TO 45 MPH THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY
ALONG THE COAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO MINIMAL WITH THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE
REMAINING OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...HIGH SURF AND LARGE SWELLS WILL
IMPACT THE BEACHES CAUSING SIGNIFICANT EROSION AND POSSIBLE MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING TO VULNERABLE AREAS. THE THREAT FOR BEACH EROSION
WILL LAST THROUGH SEVERAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES FROM THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES DURING THESE DAYS WILL BE AROUND 6
AM AND 6 PM ALONG THE COAST.

IT IS RECOMMENDED TO NOT ENTER THE HIGH SURF THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKERS COULD KNOCK YOU DOWN AND MAKE YOU
SUSCEPTIBLE TO DROWNING. THE LARGE BATTERING WAVES MAY ALSO POSE A
HAZARD TO VULNERABLE PIERS WHICH MAY BE DAMAGED FROM LARGE BREAKING
WAVES.

$$





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