[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 21 12:08:13 CDT 2011
WTCA82 TJSJ 211707
HLSSJU
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
107 PM AST SUN AUG 21 2011
...IRENE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND PASS NEAR PUERTO RICO
TONIGHT...
.NEW INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS. IN ADDITION...STORM INFORMATION WAS UPDATED.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS...
ST CROIX.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS...ST CROIX.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...ST.
THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS...ST CROIX.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS
THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 12 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0N...LONGITUDE 63.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 210 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 230 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 120 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT CROIX
VI. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CURRENT TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM IRENE CONTINUES TOWARDS THE
WEST NORTHWEST AND IT REPRESENTS A SERIOUS THREAT TO THE LOCAL
AREA...SINCE THE STORM CENTER IS FORECAST TO PASS SOUTH OF ST
CROIX AND VERY CLOSE TO THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO. THIS
IMPLIES AN IMMINENT RISK FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND
FREQUENT BANDS OF INTENSE RAINFALL WITH WIND GUSTS APPROACHING
NEAR HURRICANE FORCE AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES. BANDS OF MOISTURE
WELL AHEAD OF THE MAIN CIRCULATION ARE ALREADY AFFECTING ST CROIX
AND WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE WESTWARD ACROSS THE REST OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS VIEQUES AND CULEBRA THIS MORNING...AND THEN
CONTINUE TO PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.
FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.
REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.
FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 3 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
AMZ710-712-715-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-221715-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.HU.W.1009.110821T1707Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.TJSJ.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
107 PM AST SUN AUG 21 2011
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
$$
VIZ001-002-221715-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.HU.A.1009.110821T1707Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
107 PM AST SUN AUG 21 2011
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. COVER WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE DOORS.
COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE
ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED
SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR
FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.
&&
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE
35 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS OF 65 MPH OR GREATER. EAST SWELLS
WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL
BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY BY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. COMBINED
SEAS OF 8 TO 14 FEET ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS WITH TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THEN
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
4 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
IN FAVORED AREAS. THIS RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RISES OF
LOCAL STREAMS AND GUTS...AND COULD EVENTUALLY LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT
FLASH FLOODING. MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE ANTICIPATED IN
AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS CURRENTLY
EXPECTED TO BE LOW. THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM
1 TO 3 FEET. THIS SURGE WILL ADD TO THE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
CREATING ABOVE NORMAL TIDES. THUS...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A
SHORT PERIOD OF INUNDATION OF LOW LYING AREAS UNTIL THE ONSHORE
WINDS SUBSIDE.
IN ADDITION TO ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND
STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS
AND HAZARDOUS SURF COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION...
AND POSSIBLY COASTAL FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
IRENE APPROACHES THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES SOUTH OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON...AND PUERTO RICO TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY. REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.
$$
AMZ722-221715-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
107 PM AST SUN AUG 21 2011
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...WINDS AND SEAS... AS TROPICAL STORM IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE
THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST
IS FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35
TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS OF 65 MPH OR GREATER. EAST SWELLS WILL
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL BUILD
SIGNIFICANTLY BY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. COMBINED SEAS OF
8 TO 14 FEET ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
IRENE APPROACHES THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES SOUTH OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON...AND PUERTO RICO TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY. REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.
$$
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