[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 210420
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1220 AM AST SUN AUG 21 2011

...IRENE APPROACHING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN THE U.S
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS
THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.3N...LONGITUDE 59.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 460 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 480 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 360 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT CROIX
VI. STORM MOTION WAS WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 22 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CURRENT TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM IRENE CONTINUES TOWARDS THE
WEST AND IT REPRESENTS A SERIOUS THREAT TO THE LOCAL AREA...SINCE
THE STORM CENTER IS FORECAST TO PASS SOUTH OF SAINT CROIX AND VERY
CLOSE TO THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO. THIS IMPLIES AN IMMINENT
RISK FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND FREQUENT BANDS OF INTENSE
RAINFALL WITH WIND GUSTS APPROACHING NEAR HURRICANE FORCE AS THE
SYSTEM APPROACHES. BANDS OF MOISTURE WELL AHEAD OF THE MAIN
CIRCULATION ARE ALREADY AFFECTING SAINT CROIX AND WILL CONTINUE TO
PROPAGATE WESTWARD ACROSS THE REST OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING...AND THEN
CONTINUING TO PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 300 AM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-
220430-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1220 AM AST SUN AUG 21 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 69
PERCENT...WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 KNOTS OR
GREATER RANGES FROM 3 TO 24 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
THEN SPREAD WESTWARD INTO PUERTO RICO BY NOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 50 MPH RANGE
WITH GUSTS OF 65 MPH OR GREATER. EAST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT
THE COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY
BY SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. COMBINED SEAS ACROSS THE
REGIONAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 12 FEET OR GREATER.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS WITH TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES SUNDAY
MORNING...AND PUERTO RICO BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN FAVORED AREAS. THIS RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN
RAPID RISES OF LOCAL STREAMS...RIVERS AND GUTS. MUDSLIDES AND
DEBRIS FLOW ARE ANTICIPATED IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE LOW. THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET.
THIS SURGE WILL ADD TO THE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...CREATING ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES. THUS...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF
INUNDATION OF LOW LYING AREAS UNTIL THE ONSHORE WINDS SUBSIDE.

IN ADDITION TO ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND
STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS
AND HAZARDOUS SURF COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION...AND
POSSIBLY COASTAL FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
IRENE APPROACHES THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES SOUTH OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND PUERTO RICO SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY. REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

$$


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