[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT33 KNHC 210237
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
1000 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011

...WEAKENING HARVEY BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA
AND EASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 90.2W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NNW OF TIKAL GUATEMALA
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST.  HARVEY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL HARVEY
DISSIPATES.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL
CONTINUE MOVING INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT AND MOVE
INTO EASTERN MEXICO ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY AND DISSIPATE BY MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHERN GUATEMALA
TONIGHT NEAR THE CENTER OF HARVEY.

RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS BELIZE...GUATEMALA...
WESTERN HONDURAS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



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