[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 111141
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST OF
THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH THIS DISTURBANCE
HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT
10 TO 15 MPH.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15
MPH. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND THE
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE ATLANTIC
ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN FLORIDA AND BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE
SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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