[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT45 KNHC 072033
TCDAT5

REMNANTS OF EMILY DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
500 PM EDT SUN AUG 07 2011

SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS SHOWS THAT THE CENTER OF
EMILY HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND IS NO LONGER WELL DEFINED.
THEREFORE...EMILY DOES NOT MEET THE DEFINITION OF A TROPICAL
CYCLONE...AND THIS WILL BE THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY.  REGENERATION OF
THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO THE RELATIVELY HOSTILE
ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND DRY AIR.

THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT
15 KT...ALTHOUGH THE EXACT MOTION HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO ESTABLISH
AS THE CENTER HAS LOST DEFINITION.  THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE CONTINUES
TO INDICATE THAT THE REMNANTS OF EMILY WILL MOVE GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD OR EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 TO 20 KT UNTIL THEY ARE
ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL ZONE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  07/2100Z 31.1N  74.1W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  08/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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