[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 030338
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM EMILY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1138 PM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...EMILY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...EXPECTED TO APPROACH
HISPANIOLA ON WEDNESDAY...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM LOCATION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...SOUTHEAST...EASTERN
INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...PONCE AND
VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...
SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS...ST CROIX.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.2N...LONGITUDE 66.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 130 MILES
SOUTH OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAINT THOMAS
VI...OR ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAINT CROIX VI. STORM MOTION
WAS WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AT 1100 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.7 WEST. EMILY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THE CORE OF
EMILY IS EXPECTED TO STAY OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS...BUT
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS ST THOMAS...
ST JOHN AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...ST CROIX...CULEBRA...VIEQUES
AND MAINLAND PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED DURING
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THESE RAINBANDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS... STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR...
SOUTH AND EAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINBANDS WILL ALSO BE
ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH AT TIMES.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT
VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY
LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY...AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY.

HAVE A WELL-CHARGED CELL PHONE NEARBY...KEEPING NETWORK
COMMUNICATIONS AS OPEN AS POSSIBLE FOR EMERGENCIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

FOR SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...
AND ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO YOUR SITUATION ACCORDING TO
MARITIME PROTOCOL. IF APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY
DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS...
AND SURVIVAL SUITS IF AVAILABLE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 3:30 AM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-030730-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
1138 PM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...INLAND FLOODING...
DESPITE MINOR CHANGES TO THE TRACK...THE CORE OF EMILY IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. RAIN BANDS
WITH EMBEDDED TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AND MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THESE RAINBANDS...
IN COMBINATION WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL CAUSE RAPID RIVER
RISES ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 4 AND 6
INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ISLANDS. MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 50 MPH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MODERATE...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SOUTH FACING COASTS.
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION TO
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE
EXPECTED. ALONG THE SOUTH COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND VIEQUES...
VERY ROUGH SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES APPROACHING 12 FEET...WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL
WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE
MINOR BEACH EROSION.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
EMILY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES
SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO. REMEMBER...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS CAN
DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION.

$$

VIZ001-002-030730-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1138 PM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...INLAND FLOODING...
DESPITE MINOR CHANGES TO THE TRACK...THE CORE OF EMILY IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. RAIN BANDS
WITH EMBEDDED TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AND MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS ALL OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THESE RAINBANDS...IN COMBINATION WITH
ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL CAUSE RAPID RIVER RISES ON AREA
STREAMS AND GUTS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES WITH
LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ISLANDS.
MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP
TERRAIN.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY CONTINUES PASSING SOUTH OF THE LOCAL
ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL
CONTINUE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW
TROPICAL STORM FORCE. ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED
MAINLY ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY
BRINGS INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING THROUGH FRIDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MODERATE...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SOUTH FACING COASTS.
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION TO
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE
EXPECTED. ALONG THE SOUTH COASTS OF ST CROIX...AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...VERY ROUGH
SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES APPROACHING 12 FEET...WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WAVE
ACTION SURGING UPON THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER
LEVELS MAY POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR
BEACH EROSION.


...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
EMILY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES
SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO. REMEMBER...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS CAN
DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION.

$$





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