[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 021852
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM EMILY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
252 PM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...EMILY BACK ON TRACK...

.NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM EMILY HAS RESUMED A WESTWARD MOTION AT 12 MPH.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...SOUTHEAST...EASTERN
INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...PONCE AND
VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...
SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...AND ST CROIX.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.6N...LONGITUDE 64.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 200 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH OF SAINT CROIX
VI. STORM MOTION WAS WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS
ESTIMATED FROM AN AIR FORCE PLANE TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST.  EMILY HAS RESUMED A WESTWARD MOTION AT 12
MPH...19 KM/H.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILY WILL BE
NEAR THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA ON WEDNESDAY. THE CORE OF EMILY IS
EXPECTED TO STAY OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS...BUT OUTER
RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS ST CROIX...
CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND MAINLAND PUERTO RICO LATER THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT. THESE RAINBANDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS...STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST AND THE
EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINBANDS MAY ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED WITH
GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH AT TIMES.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT
VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY
LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY...AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY.

HAVE A WELL-CHARGED CELL PHONE NEARBY...KEEPING NETWORK
COMMUNICATIONS AS OPEN AS POSSIBLE FOR EMERGENCIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

FOR SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...
AND ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO YOUR SITUATION ACCORDING TO
MARITIME PROTOCOL. IF APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY
DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS...
AND SURVIVAL SUITS IF AVAILABLE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 630 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-031900-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
252 PM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...INLAND FLOODING...
DESPITE MINOR CHANGES TO THE TRACK...THE CORE OF EMILY IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. RAIN BANDS WITH
EMBEDDED TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
AND MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THESE
RAINBANDS...IN COMBINATION WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL CAUSE
RAPID RIVER RISES ON AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND GUTS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ISLANDS. MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH.

ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY BRINGS INCREASING WINDS
AND SEAS BEGINNING FROM LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...
BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING THROUGH FRIDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MODERATE...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SOUTH FACING COASTS. TOTAL
WATER RISES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION TO ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED.
THE SURF ALONG THE SOUTH AND NORTH COASTS OF PUERTO RICO WILL
LIKELY APPROACH 10 FEET LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL
WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE
MINOR BEACH EROSION.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
EMILY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES
SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...AND THE WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHEAST.
REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

$$

VIZ001-002-031900-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
252 PM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...INLAND FLOODING...
DESPITE MINOR CHANGES TO THE TRACK...THE CORE OF EMILY IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. RAIN BANDS WITH
EMBEDDED TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
AND MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THESE
RAINBANDS...IN COMBINATION WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL CAUSE
RAPID RIVER RISES ON AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND GUTS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ISLANDS. MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS
SEAS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AS
TROPICAL STORM EMILY BRINGS INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS BEGINNING
FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE
EXPECTED TO PEAK EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...BEFORE SLOWLY
SUBSIDING THROUGH FRIDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MODERATE...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SOUTH FACING COASTS. TOTAL
WATER RISES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION TO ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED.
THE SURF ALONG THE SOUTH AND NORTH COASTS OF PUERTO RICO WILL
LIKELY APPROACH 10 FEET LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL
WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE
MINOR BEACH EROSION.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
EMILY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES
SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...AND THE WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHEAST.
REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

$$


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