[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 021544
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM EMILY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1144 AM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...EMILY HESITATES...IT COULD BE REORGANIZING...

.NEW INFORMATION...
EMILY HAS FURTHER SLOWED DOWN AND HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST
FEW HOURS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...SOUTHEAST...EASTERN
INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...PONCE AND
VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...
SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...ST CROIX.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.3N...LONGITUDE 63.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 270 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
SAINT CROIX VI. STORM MOTION WAS STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE. STORM INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AT 11 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS ESTIMATED
FROM AN AIR FORCE PLANE TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 63.6 WEST. EMILY HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS...BUT THE CYCLONE SHOULD RESUME A WEST TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT 12 MPH...19 KM/H...LATER
TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF EMILY IS EXPECTED TO
STAY OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS...BUT OUTER RAIN BANDS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS ST CROIX...CULEBRA...
VIEQUES AND MAINLAND PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THESE
RAINBANDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH
COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...STREETS AND LOW LYING
AREAS. LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THREE TO FIVE ARE POSSIBLE...
MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST AND THE EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO.
THESE RAINBANDS MAY ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH
AT TIMES.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT
VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY
LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY...AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY.

HAVE A WELL-CHARGED CELL PHONE NEARBY...KEEPING NETWORK
COMMUNICATIONS AS OPEN AS POSSIBLE FOR EMERGENCIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

FOR SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...
AND ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO YOUR SITUATION ACCORDING TO
MARITIME PROTOCOL. IF APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY
DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS...
AND SURVIVAL SUITS IF AVAILABLE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 230 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-031545-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
1144 AM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE CORE OF EMILY WILL STAY OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS BUT
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THESE
RAINBANDS...IN COMBINATION WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL
CONTINUE TO RESULT IN RAPID RIVER RISES ON AREA RIVERS...STREAMS
AND GUTS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THREE TO FIVE WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ISLANDS. MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW
IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH.

ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY BRINGS INCREASING WINDS AND
SEAS BEGINNING FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK ON EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...BEFORE SLOWLY
SUBSIDING THROUGH FRIDAY.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
EMILY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES
SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...AND THE WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHEAST.
REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MINOR. TOTAL WATER RISES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE EXPECTED. IN
ADDITION TO ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP
CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE SURF ALONG THE SOUTH AND NORTH COASTS
OF PUERTO RICO WILL LIKELY APPROACH 10 FEET LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON THE COASTLINE AND
HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND
PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION.

$$

VIZ001-002-031545-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1144 AM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE CORE OF EMILY WILL STAY OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS BUT
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THESE
RAINBANDS...IN COMBINATION WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL
CONTINUE TO RESULT IN RAPID RIVER RISES ON AREA RIVERS...STREAMS
AND GUTS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THREE TO FIVE WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ISLANDS. MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW
IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS
TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS SEAS
ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AS TROPICAL
STORM EMILY BRINGS INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS BEGINNING FROM LATE
THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
PEAK ON EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING THROUGH
FRIDAY.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
EMILY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES
SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...AND THE WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHEAST.
REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MINOR. TOTAL WATER RISES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE EXPECTED. IN
ADDITION TO ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP
CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE SURF ALONG THE SOUTH AND NORTH COASTS
OF PUERTO RICO WILL LIKELY APPROACH 10 FEET LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON THE COASTLINE AND
HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND
PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION.

$$

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