[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 301631
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1231 PM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...EARL BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
CULEBRA...VIEQUES.

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...ST.
THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS...ST CROIX.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RIO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUE FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...
SOUTHEAST...EASTERN INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...
PONCE AND VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND
VICINITY AND SOUTHWEST.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF PUERTO RIO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS
OF PUERTO RIO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN
EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.7N...LONGITUDE 63.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 160 MILES EAST
OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 90 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS
VI. THE STORM WAS MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AROUND 285 DEGREES
AT 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 120 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE QUICKLY SPREADING ACROSS PUERTO RICO
WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS. SQUALLS WILL BECOME MORE FREQUENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS THAT COULD TRIGGER
FLASH FLOODING. ISOLATED TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS... EASTERN PASSAGES AND THE
WATERS SURROUNDING THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
THIS AFTERNOON.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 330 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

VIZ001-002-302045-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1231 PM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 16 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 97 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. HOMES MAY HAVE DAMAGE TO SHINGLES...SIDING...GUTTERS
AND WINDOWS...ESPECIALLY IF THESE ITEMS ARE NOT PROPERLY SECURED.
LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. SOME POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
BY FALLING TREES...RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. MANY
LARGE BRANCHES OF TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND A FEW TREES WILL BE
UPROOTED.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF DRY GUTS AND
URBAN AREAS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY NEAR THE
COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WIND. THESE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
BREAKING WAVES THAT WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT
THE SURF ZONE AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON
THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION.

HERE ARE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDES FOR:
MAGENS BAY: 145 PM AST TODAY AT 1.3 FEET.
CHRISTIANSTED: 218 PM AST TODAY AT 0.7 FEET.

$$

PRZ012-013-302045-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.TJSJ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
1231 PM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WAS UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 4 TO
9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 86 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
HOMES MAY HAVE DAMAGE TO SHINGLES...SIDING...GUTTERS AND
WINDOWS...ESPECIALLY IF THESE ITEMS ARE NOT PROPERLY SECURED.
LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. SOME POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
BY FALLING TREES...RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. MANY
LARGE BRANCHES OF TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND A FEW TREES WILL BE
UPROOTED.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY NEAR THE
COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WIND. THESE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
BREAKING WAVES THAT WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT
THE SURF ZONE AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON
THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION.

HERE ARE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDES AT:
ENSENADA HONDA CULEBRA: 11:25 PM AST TONIGHT AT 1.0 FEET.

$$

PRZ001>011-302045-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
1231 PM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
PROBABILITY OF WINDS SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 7 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 79 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY NEAR THE
COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WIND. THESE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
BREAKING WAVES THAT WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT
THE SURF ZONE AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON
THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION.

HERE ARE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDES AT:

SAN JUAN HARBOR: 6:49 PM AST TONIGHT AT 0.8 FEET.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS TO
60 MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO.
RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS
AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY
PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED
PROPERLY. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.


$$

AMZ712-735-302045-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
1231 PM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 86 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.


...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED. 10 TO 15 FOOT SEAS ARE EXPECTED.

$$

AMZ710-715-722-725-732-302045-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
1231 PM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 97 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 100 PERCENT. THIS
REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL RANGE GREATLY ACROSS THE MARINE ZONES.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED OVER
MOST AREAS EXCEPT FOR THE WATERS NORTH OF ANEGADA ISLAND WHERE
SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 64 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED. SEAS WILL VARY GREATLY FROM 15 FEET ALONG LONGITUDE 67
WEST TO 25 FEET EAST OF 66 DEGREES WEST.

$$

AMZ741-742-745-302045-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
1231 PM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 35 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. WATCHES MAY BE DISCONTINUED
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT LIKELY BUT COULD
GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS. SEAS WILL
RANGE BETWEEN 6 TO 8 FEET OVER OPEN WATERS AND 2 TO 4 FEET OVER
PROTECTED WATERS.

$$






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