[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 301117
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
717 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...EARL MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...HURRICANE
WARNING ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS...ST CROIX.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST... SOUTHEAST...EASTERN
INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR... PONCE AND
VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND
VICINITY...SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RIO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD
WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3N...LONGITUDE 62.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 170 MILES EAST
OF SAINT THOMAS VI...OR ABOUT 160 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAINT
CROIX VI OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF SAN JUAN. HURRICANE EARL IS
PRESENTLY MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15
MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 105 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE NOW SPREADING INTO THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS...AND WILL SPREAD WESTWARD MAINLY INTO THE NORTHERN U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO SPREAD OVER CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND MAINLAND PUERTO RICO
TODAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINS THAT COULD TRIGGER FLASH FLOODING ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA. ISOLATED TORNADOES OR
WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
EASTERN PASSAGES AND THE WATERS SURROUNDING THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS TODAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED. FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR
PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT
OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 900 AM AST ...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ710-715-722-725-732-311130-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.HU.W.1007.100830T1117Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
717 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM POSITION.
WARNING WAS UPGRADED.
UPDATED TRACK.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 64 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 98 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 55 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...
STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.


$$

VIZ001-002-311130-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.HU.W.1007.100830T1117Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
717 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM POSITION.
WARNING WAS UPGRADED.
UPDATED TRACK.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
16 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 76 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...
STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS SAINT JOHN AND
SAINT THOMAS. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES
MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER
HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR
ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW
POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED.
MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOCAL AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS
OCCUR.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY NEAR THE
COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WIND. THESE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
BREAKING WAVES THAT WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT
THE SURF ZONE AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON
THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION.

$$

PRZ001-003>011-311130-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-NORTH CENTRAL-
CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-WESTERN INTERIOR-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
717 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED TRACK.
STORM POSITION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 48 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...INLAND FLOODING...
OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM HURRICANE EARL HAVE BEGUN TO AFFECT THE
EASTERN SECTION OF THE ISLAND. AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES ALONG ITS FORECAST
TRACK...SHOWERS WILL BECOME NUMEROUS WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
THIS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND
INTO TUESDAY. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES... ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH MAINLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. HOWEVER...AS
HURRICANE EARL MOVES ALONG ITS FORECAST TRACK... STRONGER WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO
OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS
INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE... AS THEY
WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS MAY
BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY NEAR THE
COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WIND. THESE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
BREAKING WAVES THAT WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT
THE SURF ZONE AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON
THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION.

$$

AMZ712-735-311130-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
717 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED TRACK.
STORM POSITION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 60 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE CONTINUES TO MOVE
ALONG ITS FORECAST TRACK... STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.


$$

AMZ741-742-745-311130-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
717 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED TRACK.
STORM POSITION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 29 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE.  HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.


$$

PRZ002-012-013-311130-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NORTHEAST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
717 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED TRACK.
STORM POSITION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 3 TO
9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 61 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOCAL AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS
OCCUR. OUTER RAIN BANDS HAVE BEGUN TO AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO
DURING THE EARLY MORNING. RAINS WILL BECOME HEAVIER AS THE MORNING
PROGRESSES WITH SHOWERS BECOMING NUMEROUS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE CORE OF
THE HURRICANE MOVES ALONG ITS FORECAST TRACK. WIDESPREAD TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALIZED
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING OF
DRY GUTS...SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS AS WELL AS URBAN AREAS.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH MAINLY ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HOWEVER...AS
HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES... STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER
MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS
GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN
AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF
NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY NEAR THE
COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WIND. THESE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
BREAKING WAVES THAT WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT
THE SURF ZONE AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON
THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION.

$$




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