[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 291843
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
243 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE EARL APPROACHING THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS PUERTO
RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE SURROUNDING LOCAL
COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUE IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...ALL OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO...
CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS AND ST
CROIX.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE MONA
PASSAGE AND NEAR SHORE WATERS OFF WESTERN PUERTO RICO.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4N...LONGITUDE 58.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 480 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAINT
THOMAS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. HURRICANE EARL IS PRESENTLY MOVING
TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES HAS BEGUN TO SLOW AND TURN SLIGHTLY WEST
NORTHWESTWARD. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...THERE IS A
SIGNIFICANT POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND
POSSIBLE HURRICANE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA...AND PORTIONS OF MAINLAND PUERTO
RICO BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT...A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN FURTHER NORTHWEST OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...ANY DELAY IN THIS EXPECTED TURN WILL
SIGNIFICANTLY ALTER LOCAL IMPACTS. AT THIS TIME...HEAVY RAINS AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AS THE FORERUNNER BANDS APPROACH
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS EARLY MONDAY MORNING...CONTINUING ACROSS
PUERTO RICO THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. RESIDENTS AND TOURISTS SHOULD
REMAIN ALERT TO THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION THE REST OF TODAY
AS MORE UPDATES ARE LIKELY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. CLOSELY
MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE AND LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 6 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-301845-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
243 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM LOCATION.
STORM MOVEMENT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. COVER WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE DOORS.

COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE
ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED
SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR
FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

FOR THOSE LOCATED IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...EMERGENCY SHELTERS
WILL BE OPEN ON OR BEFORE 10 AM AST MONDAY MORNING...AND ALL
SCHOOLS HAVE BEEN CLOSED FOR THE DAY. HOWEVER...TEACHERS ARE
EXPECTED TO REPORT TO THEIR SCHOOLS TO AID IN SECURING THE
BUILDINGS. IN ADDITION...GOVERNMENT OFFICES ARE EXPECTED TO CLOSE
ON OR BEFORE NOON AST MONDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 23 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 68 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN EARLY MONDAY MORNING ACROSS
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND SPREAD ACROSS EXTREME NORTHERN AND
EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO BY EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY. WHILE
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO MAY NOT EXPERIENCE
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN PASSING BANDS OF SHOWERS BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 40 MPH...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...
VIEQUES...AND EXTREME NORTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF MAINLAND PUERTO
RICO.

...INLAND FLOODING...
BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...REACHING MAINLAND PUERTO RICO ON
MONDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS PUERTO RICO OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...
WITH ISOLATED RAINFALL TOTALS UP TO 12 INCHES...CAN BE EXPECTED AS
HURRICANE EARL PASSES BY TO THE NORTHEAST. RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH THE
HIGHEST TOTALS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

$$

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-301845-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
243 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM POSITION.
STORM MOVEMENT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 50 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 93 PERCENT. THESE CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS BEGINNING
LATE TONIGHT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 40 AND 60 KNOTS ACROSS THE
LOCAL OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS ON MONDAY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IN
ADDITION...EAST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ATLANTIC OFF
SHORE COASTAL WATERS EARLY MONDAY MORNING...AND WILL BUILD
SIGNIFICANTLY BY MONDAY NIGHT. COMBINED SEAS ACROSS THESE WATERS
AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 8 TO 12 FEET OR
GREATER...WITH SEAS SLIGHTLY LESS ACROSS THE ADJACENT NEAR SHORE
WATERS.

$$

AMZ741-742-745-301845-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
243 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM POSITION.
STORM MOVEMENT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 32 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST ARE FOR
SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE...HOWEVER
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY IN BANDS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY. IN
ADDITION...HAZARDOUS SEAS UP TO 10 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MONA PASSAGE MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

SR/BCS

WWWW
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