[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 091139
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IDA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...IDA WEAKENS SLIGHTLY BUT REMAINS HEADED TOWARD THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE GULF COASTAL WATERS AND BAYS FROM
DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA AND OUT TO 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING ALL OF THE GULF COASTAL WATERS
FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA AND OUT 60 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 300 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH
OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO TODAY...AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY
TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
IDA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...BUT IDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A
HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...IDA IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT APPROACHES
THE GULF COAST LATE TONIGHT.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
IDA HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A SLOW WEAKENING
TREND BUT IT IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT APPROACHES
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE TONIGHT.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS AS TO THE EXACT PATH THAT IDA WILL TAKE
SO PEOPLE LIVING ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST OF ALABAMA THROUGH THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS AND STORM SURGE.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 10 AM CST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING
TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA.

ALZ063-064-FLZ001>006-101145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-
INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST TUESDAY...
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE IDA WAS ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA AT 3 AM CST.
MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  SURF WILL INCREASE DURING
THE DAY AND A LARGE BATTERING SURF IS EXPECTED FROM SUNSET THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SURF HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE FROM FORT
MORGAN ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. SURF HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET
EXPECTED ALONG DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A HURRICANE WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN
CAREFULLY TO THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA PRONE TO
COASTAL FLOODING. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR
SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL
WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL
SECURED. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE
TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND SUNSET TODAY. STRONGEST WINDS
OCCURRING LATE TONIGHT WHEN WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE
FOR A FEW HOURS  MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE
HOMES... ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE
OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE.
A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED.
&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE
TRACK...SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF
I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.


&&

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 6 FEET ARE POSSIBLE FROM FORT MORGAN TO
DESTIN. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE
FROM 2 TO 3 AM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM RELATED
FLOODING SINCE IDA'S FORECAST LANDFALL IS NEAR THIS TIME. IF IDA
MOVES IN EARLIER...THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE MAY COINCIDE
WITH LANDFALL WHICH COULD RAISE THE AFOREMENTIONED VALUES.

TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER FROM FORT MORGAN TO THE
WEST..WITH DAUPHIN ISLAND RANGING FROM 2 TO 4 FEET...STILL HIGH
ENOUGH TO SEND SOME WATER ACROSS THE WEST END OF THE ISLAND.
 &&

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SURF WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AND A LARGE BATTERING SURF IS
EXPECTED FROM SUNSET THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SURF HEIGHTS OF 10
TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE FROM FORT MORGAN ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. SURF
HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET EXPECTED ALONG DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. THE RIP
CURRENT RISK WILL BE EXTREME AND PEOPLE SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

&&

...TORNADOES...
THE RISK OF TORNADOES IS LOW...BUT IF TORNADOES DO OCCUR THEY WILL
MAINLY FORM IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM LATE TODAY INTO TUESDAY.
TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE
STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER.

&&

$$

ALZ061-062-101145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-
539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 PM
CST TUESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE IDA WAS ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA AT 3 AM CST.
MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.


&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY
PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

...WINDS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO BEGIN
SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET OVER THE INTERIOR OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES.
STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND SOME GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE. WINDS
DIMINISHING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
POWER OUTAGES ARE A POSSIBILITY WITH IDA. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO
OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH
AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN
AROUND.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
IDA'S HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND
THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR
EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

&&

$$

ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST
TUESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE IDA WAS ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA AT 3 AM CST.
MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY
PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.


&&

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AND
NEAR MIDNIGHT WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. STRONGEST WINDS BETWEEN 40 AND
50 MPH WILL OCCUR NEAR THE CENTER OF IDA'S CIRCULATION...OR ACROSS
ESCAMBIA AND COVINGTON COUNTIES ALABAMA AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
IDA'S HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK
AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND THE ADJACENT AREAS OF ALABAMA. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF
RAINFALL...WITH SOME ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR EAST OF
I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.


&&

$$

GMZ630-650-655-670-675-101145-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE IDA WAS ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA AT 3 AM CST.
MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT. ANY SMALL CRAFT AT SEA SHOULD RETURN TO
SAFE HARBOR THIS MORNING.

&&

...MARINE...
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SEAS WILL BUILD FROM THEIR CURRENT 8 TO
12 FEET THIS MORNING TO A MAXIMUM OF 17 TO 23 FEET WITHIN 20 NM OF
THE COAST AND 21 TO 26 FEET BEYOND 20 NM OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT.

&&

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET OVER THE WATERS BEYOND 40 MILES OFFSHORE...
CLOSER TO MIDNIGHT IN THE NEAR SHORE WATERS. WINDS AT OR NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE ARE EXPECTED TO LAST FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOT RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS.

&&

...TORNADOES...
A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER
RAIN BANDS OF IDA AND NEAR THE CENTER AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE COASTAL
AND OFFSHORE WATERS LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. &&

$$






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