[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 090744
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IDA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
144 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...IDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING ALL OF GULF COASTAL WATERS
FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1200 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES...SOUTH OF PENSACOLA
FLORIDA.

IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO TODAY...AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY
TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST...BUT IDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS
IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST ON MONDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND
APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT AND MAKE LANDFALL
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ON THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS AS TO THE EXACT PATH THAT IDA WILL TAKE
SO PEOPLE LIVING ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST OF ALABAMA THROUGH THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND
STORM SURGE.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 5 AM CST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING
TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE
AREA.

ALZ063-064-FLZ001>006-091200-
/O.CON.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-
INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
144 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 1200 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES...SOUTH OF PENSACOLA
FLORIDA.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

...WINDS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET BY
MID MONDAY AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD
THEREAFTER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH MID MORNING. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH
IDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
IDA'S HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND
THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR
EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

&&

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 6 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE ALABAMA-
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST LINES. THIS IS TRACK DEPENDENT. IF
IDA PASSES FURTHER EAST. THE LOW END OF THESE VALUES WILL BE
REALIZED. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE
FROM 2 TO 3 AM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM RELATED
FLOODING SINCE IDA'S FORECAST LANDFALL IS JUST A FEW HOURS
THEREAFTER. IF IDA MOVES IN EARLIER...THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH
TIDE MAY COINCIDE WITH LANDFALL WHICH COULD RAISE THE AFOREMENTIONED
VALUES.

&&

...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED
MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER.

&&

$$

ALZ061-062-091200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-
144 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM
CST TUESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 1200 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES...SOUTH OF PENSACOLA
FLORIDA.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

...WINDS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET BY
MID MONDAY AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD
THEREAFTER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH MID MORNING. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH
IDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
IDA'S HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND
THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR
EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

&&

...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED
MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER.

&&

$$

ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-091200-
/O.CON.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
144 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 1200 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES...SOUTH OF PENSACOLA
FLORIDA.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

...WINDS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO
BEGIN MONDAY EVENING NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD
THEREAFTER THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE
FORCE ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 65. POWER OUTAGES ARE A
STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA.



&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
IDA'S HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS
WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF
I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

&&

...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED
MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER.


&&

$$

GMZ630-650-655-670-675-091200-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
144 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 1200 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES...SOUTH OF PENSACOLA
FLORIDA.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

...MARINE...
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SEAS WILL BUILD FROM THEIR CURRENT 7
TO 10 FEET RANGE TONIGHT...REACHING A MAXIMUM OF 16 TO 20 FEET WITHIN
20 NM OF THE COAST AND 20 TO 25 FEET GREATER THAN 20 NM OUT BY EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING NEAR THE PEAK OF THE EVENT.

&&

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING AND HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO LAST FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN
THE 45 TO 65 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 95 KNOTS.

&&

...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED
MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER.

&&

$$

JVW




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