[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 090501 CCA
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IDA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1049 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009

...IDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND
COASTAL WATER LEGS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS
DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING ALL OF GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM
DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND
INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.  THIS IS ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH
OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES
AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY
NIGHT.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
MONDAY NIGHT AND MAKE LANDFALL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING NEAR PENSACOLA PASS.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS AS TO THE EXACT PATH THAT IDA WILL TAKE SO
PEOPLE LIVING ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST OF COASTAL SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD BE PREPARED
FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND STORM SURGE.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 2 AM CST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING
TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA.

ALZ063-064-FLZ001>006-100500-
/O.UPG.KMOB.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/
/O.COR.KMOB.HI.W.0001.091109T0449Z-091111T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KMOB.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.COR.KMOB.HU.W.1011.091109T0449Z-000000T0000Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-
INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
1049 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY...
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES...
645 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY
NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
MONDAY NIGHT AND MAKE LANDFALL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING NEAR PENSACOLA PASS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING
IS FORECAST...BUT IDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT
APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 5 TO 7 FEET ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF THE
ALABAMA-FLORIDA LINE...ESPECIALLY IN THE UPPER REACHES OF MOBILE
BAY(INCLUDING BAYOU SARA)...DOG RIVER...THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN
ISLAND AND BAYOU LA BATRE. THIS IS TRACK DEPENDENT. IF IDA PASSES
FURTHER EAST..THE LOW END OF THESE VALUES WILL BE REALIZED OVER
COASTAL ALABAMA. EAST OF ORANGE BEACH TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS WILL RANGE
FROM 3 TO 6 FEET. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL
RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 AM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM
RELATED FLOODING SINCE IDA'S FORECAST LANDFALL IS JUST A FEW HOURS
THEREAFTER. IF IDA MOVES IN EARLIER...THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH
TIDE MAY COINCIDE WITH LANDFALL WHICH COULD RAISE THE AFOREMENTIONED
VALUES.

&&

...WINDS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET BY
MID MONDAY AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD
THEREAFTER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS WILL OCCUR BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING.
POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE COAST.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
IDA'S HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS
WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF
I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

&&

...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED
MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER.

&&

$$

ALZ061-062-100500-
/O.UPG.KMOB.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/
/O.COR.KMOB.HI.W.0001.091109T0449Z-091111T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KMOB.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.COR.KMOB.HU.W.1011.091109T0449Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-
1049 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY...
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 400 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.. THIS IS
ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH-
NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

...WINDS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET BY
MID MONDAY AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD
THEREAFTER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS WILL OCCUR BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID
MORNING. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE COAST.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
IDA'S HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS
WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF
I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

&&

...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED
MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER.

&&

$$

ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-100500-
/O.UPG.KMOB.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/
/O.COR.KMOB.TI.W.0002.091109T0449Z-091111T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1049 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 400 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.. THIS IS
ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH-
NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

...WINDS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET
DURING MONDAY EVENING NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD
THEREAFTER THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 65. POWER
OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
IDA'S HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS
WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF
I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

&&

...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES
FROM THE STORMS CENTER.

&&

$$

GMZ630-650-655-670-675-100500-
/O.COR.KMOB.HU.W.0001.091109T0449Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1049 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 400 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.. THIS IS
ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH-
NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE MONDAY MORNING AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO LAST FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 55
TO 70 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 95 KNOTS.

&&

...MARINE...
COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SEAS WILL BUILD FROM THEIR
CURRENT 7 TO 10 FEET RANGE TONIGHT... REACHING A MAXIMUM OF 20 TO 25
FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING NEAR THE PEAK OF THE EVENT.

&&

...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES
FROM THE STORMS CENTER.

&&

$$

JVW




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