[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 010151
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
851 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...GUSTAV MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO...POISED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA MONDAY AS
A MAJOR HURRICANE...

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR STONE...
GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY AND WAYNE COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND WASHINGTON COUNTY OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR
EXPECTED HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

AT 800 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 215 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY FLORIDA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO BE A
MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES. DATA FROM HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE AREA
COVERED BY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAS EXPANDED... PARTICULARLY IN THE
NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF GUSTAV. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ABOUT TO
REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF LOUISIANA...AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

ALZ061>064-010430-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
851 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES AS
THE RISK FOR TORNADOES IN RAIN BANDS CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY INCREASE.

HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...LOCATED ABOUT 215 MILES DUE SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY. HURRICANE
GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED FOR THE SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

THE FIRST BAND OF HEAVY SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH GUSTAV ARE MOVING
ONSHORE ALONG THE ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST. AS THE
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN MOVE IN THIS EVENING...GUSTY WINDS AROUND 45 MPH
WILL OVERSPREAD THE COASTAL COUNTIES WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN
THUNDERSTORMS. AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV PASSES TO THE
SOUTH TONIGHT...THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IN THE RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE
THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR EXPECTED
HEAVY RAINS.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 800 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 215 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY FLORIDA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO BE A
MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES. DATA FROM HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE AREA
COVERED BY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAS EXPANDED... PARTICULARLY IN THE
NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF GUSTAV. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ABOUT TO
REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF LOUISIANA...AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG
THE IMMEDIATE COAST...ALONG TIDAL FLOOD AREAS...AND ACROSS THE
SPECIFIED MARINE WATERS...USUALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS. ACTION TO SECURE
PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED AT THIS TIME AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE POISED TO MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE COAST THIS EVENING.

PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO EVACUATE THEM AND SEEK
SAFER SHELTER. MOBILE COUNTY HAS ORDERED MANDATORY EVACUATIONS
GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF 1-10...INCLUDING AREAS SUCH AS FOWL
RIVER...CODEN...BAYOU LA BATRE AND DAUPHIN ISLAND. BALDWIN COUNTY
HAS ORDERED MANDATORY EVACUATIONS OF THE ENTIRE FORT MORGAN
PENINSULA...ALL AREAS SOUTH OF FORT MORGAN ROAD IN THE CITY OF GULF
SHORES...PLASH ISLAND AND OTHER LOW LYING...SURGE AND FLOOD PRONE
AREAS.

RELATIVES OR NEIGHBORS OF ELDERLY OR HANDICAPPED RESIDENTS IN
MANDATORY EVACUATION AREAS OR OTHER FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS SHOULD
ENSURE THAT THEY ARE MOVED TO A SAFE REFUGE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL
RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST EVACUATION
INFORMATION.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. STARTING MONDAY MORNING...THE
MAXIMUM TOTAL STORM TIDE COULD REACH 5 TO 7 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING
ALONG SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY...WITH 4 TO 6 FEET ACROSS THE WESTERN
SHORES OF MOBILE BAY. ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF MOBILE BAY AND
SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY...TOTAL STORM TIDE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO
AVERAGE 2 TO 4 FEET. THESE VALUES REPRESENT THE WORST CASE
SCENARIO...AND IF THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY REMAINS
CONSISTENT...THEN THESE VALUES WILL LIKELY BE 2 TO 3 FEET LOWER.
HOWEVER...IF THE STORM TRACK MOVES A LITTLE MORE TO THE EAST...THESE
VALUES WILL BE MORE REPRESENTATIVE. WE ARE ENTERING INTO A NEAP TIDE
CYCLE AS GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL...SO THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL
BE NEGLIGIBLE IN THE OVERALL STORM TIDE HEIGHT.

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO HIGH
WINDS AND EXTREMELY LARGE BREAKING WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE
THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...DO NOT ENTER THE WATER
UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

MAJOR TO EXTENSIVE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE.
MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.

...WINDS...

THE FIRST BAND OF HEAVY SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH GUSTAV ARE MOVING
ONSHORE ALONG THE ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST THIS EVENING.
AS THE BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN MOVE IN...GUSTY WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WILL
OVERSPREAD THE COASTAL COUNTIES WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN
THUNDERSTORMS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
ARE LIKELY TO OVERSPREAD THE ALABAMA COASTAL AREAS LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF GUSTAV PASSES TO THE SOUTH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS...MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 10.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAIN BANDS MOVING IN OFF THE GULF ON THE EAST SIDE OF GUSTAV WILL
BRING THE POTENTIAL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. AREAS OF HEAVIER RAIN COULD RESULT IN AN
INCREASED POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES
ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 11 PM CDT.

$$

GMZ630-650-670-010430-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
851 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

TORNADO WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...LOCATED ABOUT 215 MILES DUE SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY. HURRICANE
GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED FOR THE SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. TO THE NORTH OF
GUSTAV...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OVERSPREADING THE
GULF WATERS OUT TO 60 MILES SOUTH OF THE ALABAMA GULF COAST...WITH
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FARTHER OFFSHORE. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IN
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE ALSO INCREASING THIS EVENING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES...INCLUDING
MOBILE BAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF
ALABAMA.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 800 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 215 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY FLORIDA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO BE A
MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES. DATA FROM HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE AREA
COVERED BY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAS EXPANDED... PARTICULARLY IN THE
NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF GUSTAV. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ABOUT TO
REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF LOUISIANA...AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION ALL PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS THAT WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE YOUR MARINE INTERESTS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...AS WELL AS LOCAL COMMERCIAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE FROM 35 TO
45 KNOTS THIS EVENING...INCREASING TO 45 TO 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. HIGHEST WAVE
HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON ON
MONDAY...RANGING FROM AROUND 20 FEET ABOUT 5 MILES OFF THE COAST OF
DESTIN...TO 30 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV
PASSES TO THE WEST...MOVING INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA DURING
THE DAY ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF
TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 11 PM CDT.

$$

GMZ655-675-010430-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
851 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS
OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

...NEW INFORMATION...

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...LOCATED ABOUT 215 MILES DUE SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY. HURRICANE
GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED FOR THE SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. TO THE NORTH OF
GUSTAV...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OVERSPREADING THE
GULF WATERS OUT TO 60 MILES SOUTH OF THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF
COAST...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FARTHER OFFSHORE. THE THREAT OF
TORNADOES IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE ALSO INCREASING THIS EVENING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA OUT FOR 60 NAUTICAL
MILES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF
NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 800 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 215 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY FLORIDA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO BE A
MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES. DATA FROM HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE AREA
COVERED BY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAS EXPANDED... PARTICULARLY IN THE
NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF GUSTAV. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ABOUT TO
REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF LOUISIANA...AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED ALL PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS THAT WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
AND MONDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...AS WELL AS LOCAL
COMMERCIAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION.

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE FROM 35 TO 45 KNOTS
THIS EVENING...INCREASING TO 45 TO 55 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. HIGHEST WAVE HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK
FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON ON MONDAY...RANGING FROM AROUND 18
FEET ABOUT 5 MILES OFF THE COAST OF DESTIN...TO 25 FEET WELL
OFFSHORE. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV PASSES TO THE WEST...MOVING
INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL
CYCLONES ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 11 PM CDT.

$$

FLZ001>006-010430-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
851 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM CDT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS
THE RISK FOR TORNADOES IN RAIN BANDS CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY INCREASE.

HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...LOCATED ABOUT 215 MILES DUE SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY. HURRICANE
GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED FOR THE SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

THE FIRST BAND OF HEAVY SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH GUSTAV ARE MOVING
ONSHORE ALONG THE ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST. AS THE
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN MOVE IN THIS EVENING...GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45
MPH WILL OVERSPREAD THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WITH HIGHER GUSTS
POSSIBLE IN STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV
PASSES TO THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IN THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST
FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM CDT.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 800 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 215 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY FLORIDA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO BE A
MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES. DATA FROM HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE AREA
COVERED BY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAS EXPANDED... PARTICULARLY IN THE
NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF GUSTAV. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ABOUT TO
REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF LOUISIANA...AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...ALONG TIDAL FLOOD AREAS...AND
ACROSS THE SPECIFIED MARINE WATERS...USUALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.

PERSONS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS AT
THIS TIME. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION.

PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO EVACUATE THEM AND SEEK
SAFER SHELTER.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA COAST AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. THE MAXIMUM TOTAL STORM
TIDE COULD REACH 1 TO 3 FEET IN SOME AREAS...MAINLY OVER FAR WESTERN
PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING PENSACOLA. WE ARE ENTERING
INTO A NEAP TIDE CYCLE AS GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL...SO THE ASTRONOMICAL
HIGH TIDES WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE IN THE OVERALL STORM TIDE HEIGHT.

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO HIGH
WINDS AND EXTREMELY LARGE BREAKING WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE
THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...DO NOT ENTER THE WATER
UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

MAJOR TO EXTENSIVE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE.
MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.

...WINDS...

THE FIRST BAND OF HEAVY SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH GUSTAV ARE MOVING
ONSHORE ALONG THE ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST. AS THE
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN MOVE IN THIS EVENING...GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45
MPH WILL OVERSPREAD THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WITH HIGHER GUSTS
POSSIBLE IN STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE LIKELY TO OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE EARLY MONDAY MORNING...MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE MORE
LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 11 PM CDT.

$$

ALZ052-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-010430-
/O.CON.KMOB.TI.W.0001.080901T0900Z-080902T0600Z/
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
851 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY
TO 1 AM CDT TUESDAY...

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES UNTIL 7 AM
CDT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TORNADO WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FOR STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...LOCATED ABOUT 215 MILES DUE SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY. HURRICANE
GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED FOR THE SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

AS THE HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GUSTAV MOVE INLAND
ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA TONIGHT...THE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AT 35 TO 45 MPH IN SQUALLS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
OVERNIGHT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM
TUESDAY.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES UNTIL 7 AM CDT.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 800 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 215 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY FLORIDA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO BE A
MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES. DATA FROM HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE AREA
COVERED BY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAS EXPANDED... PARTICULARLY IN THE
NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF GUSTAV. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ABOUT TO
REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF LOUISIANA...AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE NOW COMPLETED ALL PREPARATIONS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS LATE TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY.

MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES. POORLY CONSTRUCTED
HOMES MAY RECEIVE SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. A
FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. A FEW
POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS WILL BE DAMAGED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
ITEMS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. SOME
ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE
LIKELY. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR
UPROOTED. SOME ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...AND ROTTEN
LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP. PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO
EVACUATE THEM AND SEEK SAFER SHELTER.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV APPROACHES
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAIN BANDS MOVING IN OFF THE GULF ON THE EAST SIDE OF GUSTAV WILL
BRING THE POTENTIAL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. AREAS OF HEAVIER RAIN COULD RESULT IN AN
INCREASED POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES
WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 11 PM CDT.

$$

ALZ051-053>060-010430-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-
COVINGTON-
851 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...LOCATED ABOUT 215 MILES DUE SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY FLORIDA.
HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

AS GUSTAV PASSES WELL TO THE SOUTH...GUSTY EAST WINDS AT 25 TO 30 MPH
WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE ONSHORE
MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA...THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL
INCREASE LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

INTERIOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 800 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 215 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF PERDIDO KEY FLORIDA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO BE A
MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES. DATA FROM HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE AREA
COVERED BY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAS EXPANDED... PARTICULARLY IN THE
NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF GUSTAV. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ABOUT TO
REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF LOUISIANA...AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES
ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 11 PM CDT.

$$

GARMON




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