[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 31 20:15:39 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 010112
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
812 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...OUTER RAIN BANDS OF GUSTAV BEGINNING TO AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...
.AT 700 PM CDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THIS POSITION IS
ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO BE
A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES. DATA FROM HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE AREA
COVERED BY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAS EXPANDED...PARTICULARLY IN
THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF GUSTAV. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
ABOUT TO REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF LOUISIANA...AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 952 MB OR 28.11 INCHES.
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO
20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
TONIGHT.
LAZ052>054-010715-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
812 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF GUSTAV BEGINNING TO AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
IBERIA PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
ST. MARY PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
VERMILION PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ST. MARY AND IBERIA PARISHES.
ON THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL TO THE
EAST OF ATCHAFALAYA AND VERMILION BAYS...A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 8
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS IBERIA AND
ST. MARY PARISHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY
OCCUR ONCE THE EYE OF GUSTAV IS JUST NORTH AND WEST OF ST. MARY
AND IBERIA PARISHES...BRINGING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FROM THE
SOUTHWEST DIRECTION...EVENTUALLY BECOMING SOUTHERLY AS THE CENTER
CONTINUES NORTHWEST.
IN THE WORST CASE SCENARIO OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER WEST
INTO VERMILION PARISH...A STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE RIGHT OF
THE EYE LANDFALL MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. AT THESE
LEVELS...MOST OF ST. MARY PARISH WILL LIKELY BE INUNDATED WITH
STORM SURGE...WITH IBERIA PARISH INUNDATED UP TO LA 87 AND LA 182.
AGAIN...THIS IS A WORST CASE BUT POSSIBLE SCENARIO.
VERMILION PARISH.
ON THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER
EAST ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS VERMILION PARISH
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ONCE THE CENTER
OF GUSTAV REACHES THE LAFAYETTE...ST. LANDRY PARISH
REGION...BRINGING THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
DIRECTION...EVENTUALLY BECOMING SOUTHERLY AS THE CENTER CONTINUES
NORTHWEST.
IN THE WORST CASE SCENARIO OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER WEST
ACROSS CAMERON PARISH...A STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 12 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE RIGHT OF
THE EYE LANDFALL LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AT THESE
LEVELS...MOST OF VERMILION PARISH WILL LIKELY BE INUNDATED WITH
STORM SURGE SOUTH OF LA 14...WHICH WOULD BE SIMILAR TO HURRICANE
RITA'S STORM SURGE THREE YEARS AGO. AGAIN...THIS IS A WORST CASE
BUT POSSIBLE SCENARIO.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS A
DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 125 MPH
AND GUSTS UP TO 150 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE LOUISIANA COAST NEAR MORGAN CITY
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND AS
GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE MORGAN CITY AREA
LATE MORNING MONDAY...AND THE NEW IBERIA AND ABBEVILLE AREAS BY
EARLY AFTERNOON.
THE FOLLOWING DAMAGE CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE EYE WALL OF A
HURRICANE OF THIS STRENGTH.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED
OR DESTROYED. WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL ROOF
AND EXTERIOR DAMAGE. MORE SEVERE DAMAGE TO HOMES WITH GABLED
ROOFS MAY OCCUR. MANY INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BE
DESTROYED...OTHERS WILL HAVE PARTIAL ROOF AND WALL DAMAGE. WOOD
FRAMED APARTMENTS WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION
OF MOBILE HOMES IS LIKELY. ELECTRICITY AND WATER WILL BE
UNAVAILABLE FOR DAYS...AND PERHAPS WEEKS...AFTER THE STORM
PASSES. MANY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED AND/OR UPROOTED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
MORGAN CITY.
TROPICAL STORM...96 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...52 PERCENT.
NEW IBERIA.
TROPICAL STORM...92 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...40 PERCENT.
INTRACOASTAL CITY.
TROPICAL STORM...88 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...34 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH TUESDAY.
RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT.
$$
GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-010715-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
812 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF GUSTAV BEGINNING TO AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO
HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60
NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FROM PORT BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT.
WAVE HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 FEET BY LATE
MONDAY MORNING AS THE CENTER OF THE STORM APPROACHES THE
COASTLINE.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE EASTERN
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT...AND SPREAD WEST THROUGH THE DAY AS THE
CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY BY MID TO LATE
MORNING MONDAY...AND REACH INTRACOASTAL CITY AND VERMILION BAY BY
EARLY AFTERNOON. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST WEST OF PECAN ISLAND...BUT THIS COULD OCCUR
SHOULD THERE BE ANY CHANGE IN THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST.
...TORNADOES...
WATER SPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
INTO MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT.
$$
LAZ051-TXZ215-010715-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-JEFFERSON-
812 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF GUSTAV BEGINNING TO AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON...JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
CAMERON PARISH AND JEFFERSON COUNTY.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
CAMERON
ON THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER
EAST ACROSS THE ATCHAFALAYA BASIN...A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 5 FEET
IS EXPECTED ACROSS CAMERON PARISH. THIS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ONCE THE
CENTER OF GUSTAV REACHES WESTERN LOUISIANA...BRINGING THE WINDS
FROM THE SOUTHWEST DIRECTION...EVENTUALLY BECOMING SOUTHERLY AS
THE CENTER CONTINUES NORTHWEST.
IN THE WORST CASE SCENARIO OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER WEST
ACROSS CAMERON PARISH...A STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 12 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE RIGHT OF
THE EYE LANDFALL LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AT THESE
LEVELS...MOST OF CAMERON PARISH WILL LIKELY BE INUNDATED WITH
STORM SURGE SOUTH OF LA 384. AGAIN...THIS IS A WORST CASE BUT
POSSIBLE SCENARIO.
JEFFERSON
ON THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY AFTER
THE CENTER IS WELL INLAND...AND THE ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES
ESTABLISHED ON TUESDAY.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS A
DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 125 MPH
AND GUSTS UP TO 150 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING CAMERON PARISH MID TO LATE MORNING
MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING
SOUTHEAST TEXAS COAST EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME...RESIDENTS
OF CAMERON PARISH AND WESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY SHOULD EXPECT
MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...40 TO 50 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MONDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. RESIDENTS OF
EASTERN CAMERON PARISH SHOULD EXPECT MODERATE TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...50 TO 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ANY CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK OR INTENSITY COULD RESULT IN
HIGHER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AND COULD INCREASE THE
POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
CAMERON TROPICAL STORM...69 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...16 PERCENT.
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR.
TROPICAL STORM...50 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...10 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT.
$$
LAZ028-029-031-042-010715-
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080902T0900Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080902T0900Z/
ALLEN-AVOYELLES-JEFFERSON DAVIS-RAPIDES-
812 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT
TUESDAY...
...HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF GUSTAV BEGINNING TO AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ALLEN...AVOYELLES...JEFFERSON DAVIS...RAPIDES.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
HURRICANE WIND WATCH.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO PREPARE FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS...55 TO 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND POSSIBLY
MINIMAL HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
EVACUATION INFORMATION.
ALLEN.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
JEFFERSON DAVIS.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS A
DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 125 MPH
AND GUSTS UP TO 150 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE MARKSVILLE AND JENNINGS AREAS AROUND MID
MORNING MONDAY...THEN CONTINUE TO SPREAD TO THE NORTHWEST INTO
THE OBERLIN AND ALEXANDRIA AREAS AROUND NOON. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING AROUND 10 PM MONDAY NIGHT.
MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.
MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
JENNINGS.
TROPICAL STORM...84 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...23 PERCENT.
KINDER.
TROPICAL STORM...82 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...19 PERCENT.
OAKDALE.
TROPICAL STORM...83 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...17 PERCENT.
ALEXANDRIA.
TROPICAL STORM...79 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...11 PERCENT.
MARKSVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...85 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...15 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
8 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA. RAINFALL
OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH
A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT.
$$
LAZ032-033-043>045-055-010715-
/O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080902T0900Z/
ACADIA-EVANGELINE-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST. MARTIN-ST. LANDRY-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-
812 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT
TUESDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF GUSTAV BEGINNING TO AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...EVANGELINE...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...ST.
LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
ACADIA.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR RESIDENTS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 10. A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
RESIDENTS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 92...AND FOR MOBILE HOMES SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 10.
ALLEN.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
JEFFERSON DAVIS.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
LAFAYETTE.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
UPPER ST. MARTIN.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS A
DANGEROUS DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 125 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 150 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE BREAUX BRIDGE...LAFAYETTE AND
OPELOUSAS AREAS BY EARLY TO MID MORNING ON MONDAY. THESE WINDS
WILL THEN SPREAD INLAND AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE
NORTHWEST...REACHING THE CROWLEY AND VILLE PLATTE AREAS BY NOON.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO REACH THE BREAUX BRIDGE...
LAFAYETTE AND OPELOUSAS AREAS BY EARLY EVENING MONDAY...AND THE
CROWLEY AND VILLE PLATTE AREAS AFTER SUNSET.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED.
OTHERS WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS...AND
WINDOWS...AND WILL LIKELY BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED. HOUSES
OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF
FAILURE...AS WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UNSECURED LIGHT TO
MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND PERHAPS INJURY. MANY AREAS WILL HAVE POWER
OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES WILL FALL...TRANSFORMERS WILL
POP...AND SOME POWER POLES WILL BE PULLED DOWN.
ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP. UP TO
ONE HALF OF NEWLY PLANTED CROPS WILL BE DAMAGED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
ST. MARTINVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...93 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...38 PERCENT.
LAFAYETTE.
TROPICAL STORM...91 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...33 PERCENT.
OPELOUSAS.
TROPICAL STORM...90 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...28 PERCENT.
VILLE PLATTE.
TROPICAL STORM...88 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...22 PERCENT.
CROWLEY.
TROPICAL STORM...87 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...28 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA. RAINFALL OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING...AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH
A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE ON MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT.
$$
LAZ027-030-041-010715-
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080902T0900Z/
BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-VERNON-
812 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT
TUESDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF GUSTAV BEGINNING TO AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
BEAUREGARD PARISH.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
CALCASIEU PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT AS OF NOON TODAY.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 130 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 160 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING CALCASIEU PARISH BY MID-AFTERNOON ON
MONDAY...THEN CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD TOWARD DE RIDDER AND
LEESVILLE AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST. WIND GUSTS TO
HURRICANE STRENGTH WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY...MAINLY NORTH OF DE RIDDER.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
LAKE CHARLES AND VICINITY.
TROPICAL STORM...74 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...15 PERCENT.
DE RIDDER.
TROPICAL STORM...72 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...11 PERCENT.
LEESVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...71 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...9 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA. RAINFALL OF
THIS MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING...AND A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AND LASTING INTO
TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT.
$$
TXZ180>182-201-216-010715-
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080902T0900Z/
HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER-
812 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT
TUESDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF GUSTAV BEGINNING TO AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE...TYLER.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
ORANGE COUNTY.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ORANGE COUNTY.
AT THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN END OF
SABINE LAKE AFTER THE CENTER IS WELL INLAND...AND THE ONSHORE
FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED ON TUESDAY.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS A
DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 125 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 150 MPH.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING ORANGE COUNTY BY MONDAY EVENING...
THEN CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST IN TO EAST TEXAS AS GUSTAV MOVES TO
THE NORTHWEST. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR IN OLDER MOBILE HOME PARKS. NEWLY PLANTED
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SOME
SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
TOWN BLUFF.
TROPICAL STORM...57 PERCENT
HURRICANE...5 PERCENT.
VILLAGE MILLS AND WOODVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...53 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...4 PERCENT.
ORANGE.
TROPICAL STORM...62 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...11 PERCENT.
NEWTON.
TROPICAL STORM...65 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...8 PERCENT.
JASPER.
TROPICAL STORM...61 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...6 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT.
$$
13
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