[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 31 17:58:40 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KMOB 312257 PAA
HLSMOB
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
557 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...GUSTAV MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO...SLIGHTLY WEAKER BUT STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE...
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWEST
FLORIDA...
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR STONE...
GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY AND WAYNE COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
AND WASHINGTON COUNTY OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR
EXPECTED HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES...350 KM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD
ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
STARTING TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
ALZ052-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-012300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.TI.W.0001.080901T0900Z-080902T0600Z/
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
557 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO
1 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.
WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM
TUESDAY.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES...350 KM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD
ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
STARTING TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS LATE TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY.
MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES. POORLY CONSTRUCTED
HOMES MAY RECEIVE SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. A FEW
HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. A FEW POOL
CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS WILL BE DAMAGED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS
MAY BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. SOME ELECTRICAL
WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MOST
NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED. SOME
ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...AND ROTTEN LARGE BRANCHES WILL
SNAP. PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO EVACUATE THEM AND SEEK
SAFER SHELTER.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV APPROACHES SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS MOVING IN OFF THE GULF ON THE EAST SIDE OF GUSTAV WILL
BRING THE POTENTIAL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. AREAS OF HEAVIER RAIN COULD RESULT IN AN
INCREASED POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES WILL BE
MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 900 PM CDT.
$$
ALZ061>064-012300-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
557 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA COAST. HURRICANE
GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY THREE STORM. GUSTAV IS MOVING QUICKLY
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...AND IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. TO THE EAST OF THE
CENTER OF GUSTAV...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD FOR 65 MILES.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD FOR 220 MILES. SHOULD THE
CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVE SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WOULD AFFECT COASTAL ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT
AND MONDAY.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR EXPECTED
HEAVY RAINS.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES...350 KM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD
ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
STARTING TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST...ALONG TIDAL FLOOD AREAS...AND ACROSS THE SPECIFIED
MARINE WATERS...USUALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS. ACTION TO SECURE PROPERTY
SHOULD BE COMPLETED.
PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO EVACUATE THEM AND SEEK
SAFER SHELTER. MOBILE COUNTY HAS ORDERED MANDATORY EVACUATIONS
GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF 1-10...INCLUDING AREAS SUCH AS FOWL
RIVER...CODEN...BAYOU LA BATRE AND DAUPHIN ISLAND. BALDWIN COUNTY HAS
ORDERED MANDATORY EVACUATIONS OF THE ENTIRE FORT MORGAN PENINSULA...ALL
AREAS SOUTH OF FORT MORGAN ROAD IN THE CITY OF GULF SHORES...PLASH
ISLAND AND OTHER LOW LYING...SURGE AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS.
RELATIVES OR NEIGHBORS OF ELDERLY OR HANDICAPPED RESIDENTS IN
MANDATORY EVACUATION AREAS OR OTHER FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS SHOULD
ENSURE THAT THEY ARE MOVED TO A SAFE REFUGE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL
RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST EVACUATION
INFORMATION.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. STARTING MONDAY MORNING...THE MAXIMUM TOTAL
STORM TIDE COULD REACH 6 TO 8 FEET ALONG SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY FROM
CEDAR POINT WESTWARD ACROSS PORTERSVILLE BAY...CODEN AND BAYOU LA
BATRE. ALONG THE WESTERN SHORE OF MOBILE BAY...TOTAL STORM TIDE FROM
THE FOWL RIVER AREA NORTH ACROSS THE THEODORE INDUSTRIAL CANAL...DOG
RIVER...TO THE ALABAMA STATE DOCKS AND PORT OF MOBILE COULD REACH 4
TO 6 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF MOBILE BAY
AND SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY...TOTAL STORM TIDE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO
AVERAGE 2 TO 4 FEET. THESE VALUES REPRESENT THE WORST CASE
SCENARIO...AND IF THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY REMAINS
CONSISTENT...THEN THESE VALUES WILL LIKELY BE 2 TO 3 FEET LOWER.
HOWEVER...IF THE STORM TRACK MOVES MORE TO THE EAST...THESE VALUES
WILL BE MORE REPRESENTATIVE. WE ARE ENTERING INTO A NEAP TIDE CYCLE
AS GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL...SO THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL BE
NEGLIGIBLE IN THE OVERALL STORM TIDE HEIGHT.
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO HIGH WINDS
AND EXTREMELY LARGE BREAKING WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE THREATENING
TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...DO NOT ENTER THE WATER UNDER ANY
CIRCUMSTANCES.
MAJOR TO EXTENSIVE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE.
MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS THIS
EVENING. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE
LIKELY TO OVERSPREAD THE ALABAMA COASTAL AREAS LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS...MAINLY
ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS MOVING IN OFF THE GULF ON THE EAST SIDE OF GUSTAV WILL
BRING THE POTENTIAL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. AREAS OF HEAVIER RAIN COULD RESULT IN AN
INCREASED POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE MORE
LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 900 PM CDT.
$$
GMZ630-650-670-012300-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
557 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED
FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES...INCLUDING
MOBILE BAY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES...350 KM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD
ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
STARTING TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION ALL
PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS THAT WILL BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AND MONDAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE YOUR MARINE INTERESTS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...AS WELL AS LOCAL COMMERCIAL RADIO
AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE FROM 35 TO 45 KNOTS
THIS EVENING...INCREASING TO 45 TO 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS ABOVE
HURRICANE FORCE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. HIGHEST WAVE HEIGHTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON ON MONDAY...RANGING
FROM AROUND 20 FEET ABOUT 5 MILES OFF THE COAST OF DESTIN...TO 30 FEET
WELL OFFSHORE. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
AND MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV PASSES TO THE
WEST...MOVING INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA DURING THE DAY ON
MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL
CYCLONES ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 900 PM CDT.
$$
GMZ655-675-012300-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
557 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED
FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA OUT FOR 60 NAUTICAL
MILES.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES...350 KM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD
ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
STARTING TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION ALL
PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS THAT WILL BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AND MONDAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE YOUR MARINE INTERESTS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...AS WELL AS LOCAL COMMERCIAL RADIO
AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE FROM 35 TO 45 KNOTS
THIS EVENING...INCREASING TO 45 TO 55 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. HIGHEST WAVE HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK
FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON ON MONDAY...RANGING FROM AROUND 18 FEET
ABOUT 5 MILES OFF THE COAST OF DESTIN...TO 25 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV PASSES TO THE WEST...MOVING INLAND ACROSS
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL
CYCLONES ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 900 PM CDT.
$$
FLZ001>006-012300-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
557 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY THREE STORM. GUSTAV IS
MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...AND IS FORECAST TO MAKE
LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF GUSTAV...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD FOR 65 MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD FOR
220 MILES. SHOULD THE CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVE SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WOULD AFFECT COASTAL
ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR EXPECTED
HEAVY RAINS.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES...350 KM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD
ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
STARTING TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...ALONG TIDAL FLOOD AREAS...AND ACROSS THE
SPECIFIED MARINE WATERS...USUALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PERSONS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS.
TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY AT BEACH FRONT HOMES
AND WITH BOATS. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.
PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO EVACUATE THEM AND SEEK
SAFER SHELTER.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA COAST AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. THE MAXIMUM TOTAL STORM TIDE
COULD REACH 1 TO 3 FEET IN SOME AREAS...MAINLY OVER FAR WESTERN
PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING PENSACOLA. WE ARE ENTERING
INTO A NEAP TIDE CYCLE AS GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL...SO THE ASTRONOMICAL
HIGH TIDES WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE IN THE OVERALL STORM TIDE HEIGHT.
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO HIGH WINDS
AND EXTREMELY LARGE BREAKING WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE
THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...DO NOT ENTER THE WATER
UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.
MAJOR TO EXTENSIVE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE.
MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE LIKELY TO OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON EARLY MONDAY...MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.
...TORNADOES...
THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE MORE
LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 900 PM CDT.
$$
ALZ051-053>060-012300-
/O.NEW.KMOB.HU.S.0002.080831T2257Z-000000T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-
COVINGTON-
557 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...AND IS
FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AROUND
MIDDAY MONDAY. TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF GUSTAV...HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD FOR 65 MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD FOR 220 MILES. THIS WILL RESULT IN BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA TONIGHT AND
EARLY MONDAY.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
INTERIOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES...350 KM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD
ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
STARTING TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE MORE
LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 900 PM CDT.
$$
SHEPHERD
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