[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 31 13:32:59 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLIX 311832
HLSLIX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
132 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...GUSTAV WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE...BUT STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE...
.AT 100 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST OR ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE TO DECREASED TO NEAR
115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY
FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-312245-
/O.CON.KLIX.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TANGIPAHOA-ST. TAMMANY-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
132 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI STARTING AT 7 AM TOMORROW.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 100 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST OR ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE TO DECREASED TO NEAR
115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY
FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PERSONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE AND PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE EVENT THAT
HURRICANE GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA OR
MISSISSIPPI COAST AS A CATEGORY 3 OR CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE.
MANY PARISHES IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COUNTIES IN SOUTH
MISSISSIPPI HAVE EVACUATION ORDERS IN EFFECT. PLEASE FOLLOW THE
ADVICE OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.
IN THE AREA NEAR LANDFALL OF THE EYE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WINDS
WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE...AND ALL MOBILE HOMES WILL BE
DESTROYED. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY BE SEVERELY
DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE COULD OCCUR TO WELL
CONSTRUCTED HOMES. MANY GABLED ROOFS MAY FAIL ALONG WITH SOME
EXTERIOR WALLS. ALUMINUM AND LIGHT STEEL ROOFS WILL BE TORN OFF
BUILDINGS AT INDUSTRIAL PARKS. PARTIAL ROOF AND EXTERIOR WALL
FAILURES ARE LIKELY AT LOW RISE APARTMENT BUILDINGS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION. SOME WINDOWS IN HIGH RISE
OFFICE BUILDINGS WILL BE BLOWN OUT. AIRBORNE DEBRIS HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE ADDITIONAL MAJOR DAMAGE...AS WELL AS INJURIES
AND A FEW FATALITIES. NEAR TOTAL POWER LOSS IS EXPECTED WITH
NUMEROUS LINES AND POWER POLES KNOCKED DOWN. THE AVAILABILITY OF
POTABLE WATER WILL BE DIMINISHED AS FILTRATION SYSTEMS BEGIN TO
FAIL. NUMEROUS TREES...ESPECIALLY SMALL TO MEDIUM TREES...WILL BE
DOWNED...SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
A POTENTIAL STORM SURGE OF 12 TO 16 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR
AND TO THE RIGHT OF LOCATION OF LANDFALL. LIFE THREATENING
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. SECTIONS OF WEST JEFFERSON...AND LOWER
LAFOURCHE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES COULD BE OVER TOPPED. AREAS
OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...WILL BE SEVERELY
INUNDATED.
MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION IMPACTED BY THE STORM
SURGE MAY BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE
SWAMPED. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF BY
STORM SURGE FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL MOVE
WELL INLAND ESPECIALLY ALONG BAYS AND BAYOUS. A STORM SURGE OF
THIS MAGNITUDE COULD RESULT IN EXTENSIVE FLOODING AND POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS MONDAY MORNING AND
SPREAD INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND ACROSS COASTAL
MISSISSIPPI MONDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE COAST BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND WILL SPREAD INLAND
TO MANY AREAS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS SOUTHWEST OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND THE
RIVER PARISHES.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND MISSISSIPPI COASTS LATE TONIGHT AND ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 PM CDT.
$$
GMZ530-550-555-570-575-312245-
/O.CON.KLIX.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
132 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 100 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST OR ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE TO DECREASED TO NEAR
115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY
FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
...WINDS...
THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED
FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 PM CDT.
$$
LAZ034>037-039-046>048-MSZ068>071-077-312245-
/O.CON.KLIX.HI.W.0001.080901T0900Z-080902T1200Z/
POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-
IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-
WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
132 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO
7 AM CDT TUESDAY...
....AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI STARTING AT 7 AM TOMORROW.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PERSONS IN THE HURRICANE WIND WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE AND PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE EVENT THAT
HURRICANE GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA OR
MISSISSIPPI COAST AS A CATEGORY 3 OR CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE MONDAY MORNING.
OVER INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF BATON ROUGE...WIND SPEEDS OF UP TO CATEGORY 1...75 MPH...
WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MONDAY MORNING INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT
DAMAGED. UNSECURED LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL
BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND PERHAPS INJURY.
MANY AREAS WILL HAVE POWER OUTAGES WITH NUMEROUS DOWNED WIRES AND
SOME POWER POLES PULLED DOWN. SOME LARGE TREES WILL BE
UPROOTED...ESPECIALLY THOSE ON SATURATED GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE
BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT INLAND AREAS OF
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING AND
COULD CONTINUE INTO MONDAY NIGHT. |
...INLAND FLOODING...
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
OVER AREAS SOUTHWEST OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND THE RIVER PARISHES.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 PM CDT.
$$
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