[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 31 11:29:55 CDT 2008
WTUS82 KTAE 311629
HLSTAE
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1229 PM EDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...MAJOR HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUING TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...
AT 1100 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...OR ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH
OF PANAMA CITY BEACH FLORIDA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD
MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
RE-INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY
OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT
GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.
GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
FLZ008-012-014-015-GMZ750-755-770-775-312300-
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WALTON-BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1229 PM EDT SUN AUG 31 2008 /1129 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008/
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
GUSTAV CONTINUES TO BE A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. THE
LATEST FORECAST SHOWS GUSTAV WILL BE APPROACHING THE LOUISIANA
COASTLINE LATE MONDAY MORNING. HIGH SURF WILL BEGIN IMPACTING THE
BEACHES OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER THIS EVENING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN...AS WELL AS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER ENTRANCE OUT
TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME IS APPEARS THAT THE GREATEST LIKELIHOOD FOR SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.
HOWEVER...GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PANHANDLE
COAST...MAINLY IN SCATTERED FAST-MOVING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
AS A PRECAUTION...SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS LIKE PATIO FURNITURE AND
GARBAGE CANS AS THEY ARE MORE PRONE TO BLOWING OVER. TREE
LIMBS...SMALL SHRUBS...AND EVEN A FEW POWER LINES CAN BE BLOWN
DOWN AS WELL. BE PREPARED FOR SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS OF 10 AM CDT...TIDES WERE RUNNING SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ALONG
THE COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND IN FRANKLIN COUNTY.
SINCE GUSTAV WILL MAKE LANDFALL WELL TO THE WEST OF THE
AREA...OVERALL STORM SURGE VALUES OF 2 TO 3 FEET IS EXPECTED ALONG
THE IMMEDIATE COAST. ASTRONOMICAL TIDES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND IN THE WESTERN PART OF FRANKLIN COUNTY REMAIN LOW. AS A
RESULT...THIS WILL REDUCE THE OVERALL IMPACT OF THE STORM SURGE
AND LESSEN THE POTENTIAL OF COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.
BELOW ARE THE TIMES OF HIGH AND LOW TIDE AT AREA BEACHES ALONG THE
COAST.
DESTIN...HIGH TIDE AT 1210 PM CDT SUNDAY. LOW TIDE AT 750 PM CDT
SUNDAY. HIGH TIDE AT 111 AM CDT MONDAY. LOW TIDE AT 650 AM CDT
MONDAY. HIGH TIDE AT 144 PM CDT MONDAY.
PANAMA CITY BEACH...LOW TIDE AT 540 PM CDT SUNDAY. HIGH TIDE AT 1127 PM
CDT SUNDAY. LOW TIDE AT 440 AM CDT MONDAY. HIGH TIDE AT 1200 PM
EDT MONDAY. LOW TIDE AT 421 PM CDT MONDAY.
APALACHICOLA...HIGH TIDE AT 450 PM EDT SUNDAY. LOW TIDE AT 1146 PM
EDT SUNDAY. HIGH TIDE AT 536 AM EDT MONDAY. LOW TIDE AT 1141 AM
EDT MONDAY. HIGH TIDE AT 543 PM EDT MONDAY.
DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR THE
SURF TO RUN UP TO THE DUNE LINE AND CAUSE MINOR BEACH EROSION.
MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL BE POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE ALONG THE BEACHES IN BAY AND WALTON COUNTY...WHERE STRONGER
SURF CAN BE EXPECTED. SURF HEIGHTS WILL APPROACH 10 TO 12 FEET AT
TIMES WITH HIGHER SETS. ADDITIONALLY...THERE WILL ALSO BE HIGHLY
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE COASTLINE FOR ANYONE...INCLUDING
EXPERIENCED SURFERS...THAT ENTER THE SURF.
...WINDS...
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TODAY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF
15 TO 20 MPH NEAR THE COAST CAN BE EXPECTED. IT IS UNLIKELY THAT SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
HOWEVER...IT IS POSSIBLE FOR THE WIND TO GUST TO 40 MPH IN FAST MOVING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE OUTER FRINGES OF GUSTAV. THE
PROBABILITY OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 20
PERCENT AT CARABELLE TO 40 PERCENT AT DESTIN.
...INLAND FLOODING...
SINCE THE MAIN CORE OF GUSTAV WILL LIKELY REMAIN OFFSHORE THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED...MAINLY IN HEAVY BUT FAST MOVING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COAST.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND MONDAY AS THE
WINDS INCREASE. TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE
FAST-MOVING AND OFTEN DIFFICULT TO SEE DUE TO HEAVY RAIN.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 PM EDT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
$$
FLZ007-009>011-013-016-017-019-026-029-312300-
/O.NEW.KTAE.HU.S.0001.080831T1629Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
MADISON-LIBERTY-LAFAYETTE-
1229 PM EDT SUN AUG 31 2008 /1129 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008/
...GUSTAV TO MOVE TOWARD SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WITH MINIMAL IMPACTS
FOR COUNTIES OF THE INLAND FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND...
...NEW INFORMATION...
GUSTAV CONTINUES TO BE A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. THE
LATEST FORECAST SHOWS GUSTAV WILL BE APPROACHING THE LOUISIANA
COASTLINE LATE MONDAY MORNING. OUTER BANDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH
GUSTAV WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
INLAND WALTON...HOLMES...WASHINGTON...JACKSON...CALHOUN...
GADSDEN...LEON...MADISON...LIBERTY...LAFAYETTE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME.
...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL OCCUR TODAY
ACROSS THE REGION. GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME
OF THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS THAT MOVE OVER THE REGION TODAY.
...INLAND FLOODING...
SINCE THE MAIN CORE OF GUSTAV WILL LIKELY REMAIN OFFSHORE THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED...MAINLY IN HEAVY BUT FAST MOVING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COAST.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND MONDAY AS THE
WINDS INCREASE. TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE
FAST-MOVING AND OFTEN DIFFICULT TO SEE DUE TO HEAVY RAIN.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.
$$
FLZ018-027-028-034-312300-
/O.NEW.KTAE.HU.S.0002.080831T1629Z-000000T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-DIXIE-
1229 PM EDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...HURRICANE GUSTAV STILL MOVING TOWARD SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
...HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND MONDAY ALONG
THE COAST...
...NEW INFORMATION...
GUSTAV CONTINUES TO BE A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. THE
LATEST FORECAST SHOWS GUSTAV WILL BE APPROACHING THE LOUISIANA
COASTLINE LATE MONDAY MORNING. HIGH SURF AND TIDES WILL BEGIN
AFFECTING THE COASTAL AREAS LATER THIS EVENING INTO MONDAY.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
JEFFERSON...WAKULLA...TAYLOR...DIXIE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR WAKULLA COUNTY.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
WHILE STRONG WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE NOT
EXPECTED...COASTAL RUNUP DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. RESIDENTS LIVING IN THE FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...MAINLY WEST OF SAINT MARKS IN WAKULLA COUNTY SHOULD
CONSIDER MOVING ANY OUTDOOR OBJECTS INDOORS TO PREVENT THEM FROM
BEING LOST IN ANY RISING WATER.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
EASTERLY...AND EVENTUALLY EAST SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS...WILL BEGIN TO
DRIVE UP WATER LEVELS IN APALACHEE BAY...MAINLY WEST OF SAINT
MARKS. THIS WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR ABOVE NORMAL TIDES FROM
LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY. TIDES MAY RUN AS HIGH AS 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WEST OF SAINT MARKS.
MUCH LOWER VALUES ARE EXPECTED FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY EASTWARD TO
THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER WHERE EASTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP
RISING WATER OFFSHORE. THE AREAS MOST VULNERABLE TO FLOODING IN
WAKULLA COUNTY WILL BE AROUND MASHES SANDS NEAR THE OCHLOCKONEE
BAY RIVER AND SHELL POINT.
BELOW ARE THE TIMES OF HIGH AND LOW TIDE IN WAKULLA COUNTY...
SHELL POINT...HIGH TIDE...334 PM EDT SUNDAY. LOW TIDE 1001 PM EDT
SUNDAY. HIGH TIDE 358 AM EDT MONDAY. LOW TIDE 1004 AM EDT
MONDAY. HIGH TIDE 413 PM EDT MONDAY.
OCHLOCKONEE RIVER ENTRANCE...HIGH TIDE 349 PM EDT SUNDAY. LOW TIDE
939 PM EDT SUNDAY. HIGH TIDE 416 AM EDT MONDAY. LOW TIDE 1004 AM
EDT MONDAY. HIGH TIDE 429 PM EDT MONDAY.
...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL OCCUR TODAY
ACROSS THE REGION. GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME
OF THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS THAT MOVE OVER THE REGION TODAY.
...INLAND FLOODING...
SINCE THE MAIN CORE OF GUSTAV WILL LIKELY REMAIN OFFSHORE THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED...MAINLY IN HEAVY BUT FAST MOVING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COAST.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND MONDAY AS THE
WINDS INCREASE. TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE
FAST-MOVING AND OFTEN DIFFICULT TO SEE DUE TO HEAVY RAIN.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.
$$
GMZ730-765-312300-
/O.NEW.KTAE.HU.S.0003.080831T1629Z-000000T0000Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
1229 PM EDT SUN AUG 31 2008
...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS FROM GUSTAV TO IMPACT THE COASTAL
WATERS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA BIG BEND...
...NEW INFORMATION...
GUSTAV CONTINUES TO BE A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. THE
LATEST FORECAST SHOWS GUSTAV WILL BE APPROACHING THE LOUISIANA
COASTLINE LATE MONDAY MORNING. HIGH SURF AND TIDES WILL BEGIN
AFFECTING THE COASTAL AREAS LATER THIS EVENING INTO MONDAY.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
THE WATERS OF APALACHEE BAY TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 20
NAUTICAL MILES.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
SURF WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS SURF
WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS FOR MARINERS. 6 TO 8 FOOT SURF
CAN EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE GUSTAV REMAINS IN
THE GULF OF MEXICO. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL
GUSTAV MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION.
...WINDS...
WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS...ESPECIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF ANY OTHER
BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH GUSTAV.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND MONDAY AS THE
WINDS INCREASE. TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE
FAST-MOVING AND OFTEN DIFFICULT TO SEE DUE TO HEAVY RAIN.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.
$$
38-GODSEY
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