[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Aug 30 19:37:17 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KKEY 310036 PAA
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
836 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS FROM
THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS...
...TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...

.AT 800 PM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 170 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND REACH THE NORTHERN
GULF ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 150 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS WITH AN OVERALL SLIGHT
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD
REACH CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY DURING THIS PERIOD.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AS GUSTAV WAS MAKING LANDFALL WAS
941 MB...OR 27.79 INCHES.

GMZ032-054-075-310415-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
836 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION FOR 8 PM ADVISORY.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION TO ADD SOME DETAILS
FOR TONIGHT.
UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS FOR EXPECTED OVERNIGHT EFFECTS.
UPDATED TORNADO SECTION TO ADD DESCRIPTION OF THREAT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS FROM THE
WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH AND
WEST OF THE LOWER KEYS...AND THE NEARSHORE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE
LOWER KEYS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ONE SHELTER IS AVAILABLE TONIGHT AT THE KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL...LOCATED
AT 2100 FLAGLER AVENUE. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT IN THE LOWER KEYS. THERE ARE NO VISITOR
OR RESIDENT EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE FLORIDA KEYS. THE
OVERSEAS HIGHWAY REMAINS OPEN...BUT DRIVERS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE
CAUTION IF THEY NEED TO TRAVEL IN THE LOWER KEYS TONIGHT. THERE ARE
NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES AND SNAKE CREEK DRAW BRIDGE WILL
CONTINUE TO OPEN FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS NORTH OF THE LOWER KEYS.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER ATLANTIC WATERS AND
OFFSHORE WATERS OF MAINLAND MONROE. BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE. ON WATERS WEST OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS EARLY THIS
EVENING...AND TURN SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS LATER TONIGHT. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF WILL BUILD TO 10 TO
14 FEET OVERNIGHT. ELSEWHERE...EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BE HIGHER AND GUSTY
WITHIN NUMEROUS SQUALLS ACROSS ALL THE COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WATER LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV PASSES TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST OF THOSE
ISLANDS TONIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE
EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...

AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.

AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 39 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY IN AND AROUND THE DRY TORTUGAS
TONIGHT. A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN SQUALLS
ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS TONIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 36 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS AN 11 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WOULD LIKELY CAUSE SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS
AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.

...TORNADOES...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 100 AM SUNDAY MORNING FOR ALL
THE FLORIDA KEYS. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS OVERNIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY MIDNIGHT...OR
SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ078-310415-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE LOWER KEYS-
836 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION FOR 8 PM ADVISORY.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION TO ADD SOME DETAILS
FOR TONIGHT.
UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS FOR EXPECTED OVERNIGHT EFFECTS.
UPDATED TORNADO SECTION TO ADD DESCRIPTION OF THREAT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS FROM THE
WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH AND
WEST OF THE LOWER KEYS...AND THE NEARSHORE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE
LOWER KEYS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ONE SHELTER IS AVAILABLE TONIGHT AT THE KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL...LOCATED
AT 2100 FLAGLER AVENUE. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT IN THE LOWER KEYS. THERE ARE NO VISITOR
OR RESIDENT EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE FLORIDA KEYS. THE
OVERSEAS HIGHWAY REMAINS OPEN...BUT DRIVERS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE
CAUTION IF THEY NEED TO TRAVEL IN THE LOWER KEYS TONIGHT. THERE ARE
NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES AND SNAKE CREEK DRAW BRIDGE WILL
CONTINUE TO OPEN FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS NORTH OF THE LOWER KEYS.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER ATLANTIC WATERS AND
OFFSHORE WATERS OF MAINLAND MONROE. BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE. ON WATERS WEST OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS EARLY THIS
EVENING...AND TURN SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS LATER TONIGHT. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF WILL BUILD TO 10 TO
14 FEET OVERNIGHT. ELSEWHERE...EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BE HIGHER AND GUSTY
WITHIN NUMEROUS SQUALLS ACROSS ALL THE COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WATER LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV PASSES TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST OF THOSE
ISLANDS TONIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE
EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...

AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.

AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 39 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY IN AND AROUND THE DRY TORTUGAS
TONIGHT. A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN SQUALLS
ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS TONIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 36 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS AN 11 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WOULD LIKELY CAUSE SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS
AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.

...TORNADOES...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 100 AM SUNDAY MORNING FOR ALL
THE FLORIDA KEYS. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS OVERNIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY MIDNIGHT...OR
SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

GMZ074-310415-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
836 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION FOR 8 PM ADVISORY.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION TO ADD SOME DETAILS
FOR TONIGHT.
UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS FOR EXPECTED OVERNIGHT EFFECTS.
UPDATED TORNADO SECTION TO ADD DESCRIPTION OF THREAT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS FROM THE
WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH AND
WEST OF THE LOWER KEYS...AND THE NEARSHORE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE
LOWER KEYS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ONE SHELTER IS AVAILABLE TONIGHT AT THE KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL...LOCATED
AT 2100 FLAGLER AVENUE. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT IN THE LOWER KEYS. THERE ARE NO VISITOR
OR RESIDENT EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE FLORIDA KEYS. THE
OVERSEAS HIGHWAY REMAINS OPEN...BUT DRIVERS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE
CAUTION IF THEY NEED TO TRAVEL IN THE LOWER KEYS TONIGHT. THERE ARE
NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES AND SNAKE CREEK DRAW BRIDGE WILL
CONTINUE TO OPEN FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS NORTH OF THE LOWER KEYS.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER ATLANTIC WATERS AND
OFFSHORE WATERS OF MAINLAND MONROE. BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE. ON WATERS WEST OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS EARLY THIS
EVENING...AND TURN SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS LATER TONIGHT. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF WILL BUILD TO 10 TO
14 FEET OVERNIGHT. ELSEWHERE...EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BE HIGHER AND GUSTY
WITHIN NUMEROUS SQUALLS ACROSS ALL THE COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WATER LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV PASSES TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST OF THOSE
ISLANDS TONIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE
EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...

AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.

AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 39 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY IN AND AROUND THE DRY TORTUGAS
TONIGHT. A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN SQUALLS
ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS TONIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 36 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS AN 11 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WOULD LIKELY CAUSE SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS
AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.

...TORNADOES...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 100 AM SUNDAY MORNING FOR ALL
THE FLORIDA KEYS. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS OVERNIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY MIDNIGHT...OR
SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ076-077-GMZ031-052-053-310415-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-FLORIDA BAY-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
836 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION FOR 8 PM ADVISORY.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION TO ADD SOME DETAILS
FOR TONIGHT.
UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS FOR EXPECTED OVERNIGHT EFFECTS.
UPDATED TORNADO SECTION TO ADD DESCRIPTION OF THREAT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS FROM THE
WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH AND
WEST OF THE LOWER KEYS...AND THE NEARSHORE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE
LOWER KEYS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ONE SHELTER IS AVAILABLE TONIGHT AT THE KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL...LOCATED
AT 2100 FLAGLER AVENUE. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT IN THE LOWER KEYS. THERE ARE NO VISITOR
OR RESIDENT EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE FLORIDA KEYS. THE
OVERSEAS HIGHWAY REMAINS OPEN...BUT DRIVERS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE
CAUTION IF THEY NEED TO TRAVEL IN THE LOWER KEYS TONIGHT. THERE ARE
NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES AND SNAKE CREEK DRAW BRIDGE WILL
CONTINUE TO OPEN FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS NORTH OF THE LOWER KEYS.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER ATLANTIC WATERS AND
OFFSHORE WATERS OF MAINLAND MONROE. BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE. ON WATERS WEST OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS EARLY THIS
EVENING...AND TURN SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS LATER TONIGHT. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF WILL BUILD TO 10 TO
14 FEET OVERNIGHT. ELSEWHERE...EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BE HIGHER AND GUSTY
WITHIN NUMEROUS SQUALLS ACROSS ALL THE COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WATER LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV PASSES TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST OF THOSE
ISLANDS TONIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE
EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...

AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.

AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 39 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY IN AND AROUND THE DRY TORTUGAS
TONIGHT. A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN SQUALLS
ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS TONIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 36 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS AN 11 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WOULD LIKELY CAUSE SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS
AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.

...TORNADOES...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 100 AM SUNDAY MORNING FOR ALL
THE FLORIDA KEYS. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS OVERNIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY MIDNIGHT...OR
SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

GMZ033-072-073-310415-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
836 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION FOR 8 PM ADVISORY.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION TO ADD SOME DETAILS
FOR TONIGHT.
UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS FOR EXPECTED OVERNIGHT EFFECTS.
UPDATED TORNADO SECTION TO ADD DESCRIPTION OF THREAT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS FROM THE
WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH AND
WEST OF THE LOWER KEYS...AND THE NEARSHORE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE
LOWER KEYS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ONE SHELTER IS AVAILABLE TONIGHT AT THE KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL...LOCATED
AT 2100 FLAGLER AVENUE. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT IN THE LOWER KEYS. THERE ARE NO VISITOR
OR RESIDENT EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE FLORIDA KEYS. THE
OVERSEAS HIGHWAY REMAINS OPEN...BUT DRIVERS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE
CAUTION IF THEY NEED TO TRAVEL IN THE LOWER KEYS TONIGHT. THERE ARE
NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES AND SNAKE CREEK DRAW BRIDGE WILL
CONTINUE TO OPEN FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS NORTH OF THE LOWER KEYS.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER ATLANTIC WATERS AND
OFFSHORE WATERS OF MAINLAND MONROE. BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE. ON WATERS WEST OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS EARLY THIS
EVENING...AND TURN SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS LATER TONIGHT. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF WILL BUILD TO 10 TO
14 FEET OVERNIGHT. ELSEWHERE...EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BE HIGHER AND GUSTY
WITHIN NUMEROUS SQUALLS ACROSS ALL THE COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WATER LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV PASSES TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST OF THOSE
ISLANDS TONIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE
EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...

AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.

AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 39 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY IN AND AROUND THE DRY TORTUGAS
TONIGHT. A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN SQUALLS
ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS TONIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 36 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS AN 11 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WOULD LIKELY CAUSE SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS
AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.

...TORNADOES...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 100 AM SUNDAY MORNING FOR ALL
THE FLORIDA KEYS. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS OVERNIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY MIDNIGHT...OR
SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

JACOBSON





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