[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Aug 30 02:09:39 CDT 2008
WTUS82 KKEY 300709
HLSKEY
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
309 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF KEY WEST
THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...
.AT 200 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
THIS MORNING...THEN MOVE OVER WESTERN CUBA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO EARLY SUNDAY.
RECENT DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE PLANE INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS...AND GUSTAV COULD
BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES WESTERN CUBA.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 969 MB OR 28.61 INCHES.
GMZ075-301015-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
309 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCREASE SUSTAINED WINDS TO 100 MPH.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF KEY WEST
THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER
FLORIDA KEYS...FROM THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH KEY
WEST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
INCLUDING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS MONITORING HURRICANE
GUSTAV. HOWEVER...NO MAJOR PROTECTIVE ACTIONS ARE PLANNED AT THIS
TIME. THERE ARE NO EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS. THERE ARE NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES...AND THE
DRAWBRIDGES AT JEWFISH CREEK AND SNAKE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO
OPEN FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
DRY TORTUGAS...MOST LIKELY OCCURRING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE
TONIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED
TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...
AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
10:43 AM TODAY...11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.
AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:14 AM TODAY...10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.
AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:03 AM TODAY...9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE
LOWER KEYS TODAY. MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 TO 50 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT IN THE DRY
TORTUGAS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 45 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 11 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.
...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS
THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE MINOR
PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVE THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF KEY
WEST. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER ATLANTIC AND
GULF SIDE WATERS. EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS LATER
TODAY. TONIGHT...ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE THROUGH KEY WEST...WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND
INCREASE TO AROUND 30 KNOTS WITH NUMEROUS SQUALLS...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE. WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO 40 KNOTS TONIGHT WITH HIGHER
WINDS POSSIBLE IN NUMEROUS SQUALLS. SEAS WILL BUILD UP TO 11 FEET
OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 600 AM...OR SOONER IF
NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$
GMZ054-074-301015-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
309 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCREASE SUSTAINED WINDS TO 100 MPH.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF KEY WEST
THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER
FLORIDA KEYS...FROM THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH KEY
WEST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
INCLUDING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS MONITORING HURRICANE
GUSTAV. HOWEVER...NO MAJOR PROTECTIVE ACTIONS ARE PLANNED AT THIS
TIME. THERE ARE NO EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS. THERE ARE NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES...AND THE
DRAWBRIDGES AT JEWFISH CREEK AND SNAKE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO
OPEN FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
DRY TORTUGAS...MOST LIKELY OCCURRING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE
TONIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED
TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...
AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
10:43 AM TODAY...11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.
AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:14 AM TODAY...10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.
AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:03 AM TODAY...9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE
LOWER KEYS TODAY. MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 TO 50 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT IN THE DRY
TORTUGAS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 45 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 11 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.
...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS
THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE MINOR
PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVE THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF KEY
WEST. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER ATLANTIC AND
GULF SIDE WATERS. EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS LATER
TODAY. TONIGHT...ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE THROUGH KEY WEST...WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND
INCREASE TO AROUND 30 KNOTS WITH NUMEROUS SQUALLS...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE. WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO 40 KNOTS TONIGHT WITH HIGHER
WINDS POSSIBLE IN NUMEROUS SQUALLS. SEAS WILL BUILD UP TO 11 FEET
OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 600 AM...OR SOONER IF
NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$
FLZ078-301015-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE LOWER KEYS-
309 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCREASE SUSTAINED WINDS TO 100 MPH.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF KEY WEST
THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER
FLORIDA KEYS...FROM THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH KEY
WEST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
INCLUDING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS MONITORING HURRICANE
GUSTAV. HOWEVER...NO MAJOR PROTECTIVE ACTIONS ARE PLANNED AT THIS
TIME. THERE ARE NO EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS. THERE ARE NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES...AND THE
DRAWBRIDGES AT JEWFISH CREEK AND SNAKE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO
OPEN FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
DRY TORTUGAS...MOST LIKELY OCCURRING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE
TONIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED
TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...
AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
10:43 AM TODAY...11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.
AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:14 AM TODAY...10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.
AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:03 AM TODAY...9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE
LOWER KEYS TODAY. MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 TO 50 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT IN THE DRY
TORTUGAS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 45 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 11 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.
...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS
THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE MINOR
PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVE THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF KEY
WEST. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER ATLANTIC AND
GULF SIDE WATERS. EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS LATER
TODAY. TONIGHT...ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE THROUGH KEY WEST...WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND
INCREASE TO AROUND 30 KNOTS WITH NUMEROUS SQUALLS...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE. WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO 40 KNOTS TONIGHT WITH HIGHER
WINDS POSSIBLE IN NUMEROUS SQUALLS. SEAS WILL BUILD UP TO 11 FEET
OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 600 AM...OR SOONER IF
NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$
FLZ076-077-GMZ031>033-052-053-072-073-301015-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-FLORIDA BAY-
GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
309 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCREASE SUSTAINED WINDS TO 100 MPH.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF KEY WEST
THROUGH THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER
FLORIDA KEYS...FROM THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE THROUGH KEY
WEST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
INCLUDING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS MONITORING HURRICANE
GUSTAV. HOWEVER...NO MAJOR PROTECTIVE ACTIONS ARE PLANNED AT THIS
TIME. THERE ARE NO EVACUATION ORDERS FOR ANY PART OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS. THERE ARE NO WEATHER-RELATED BRIDGE CLOSURES...AND THE
DRAWBRIDGES AT JEWFISH CREEK AND SNAKE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO
OPEN FOR MARINE TRAFFIC.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
DRY TORTUGAS...MOST LIKELY OCCURRING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE
TONIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS TIME. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED
TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES...
AT GARDEN KEY IN THE DRY TORTUGAS...
10:43 AM TODAY...11:21 PM TONIGHT...11:28 AM SUNDAY.
AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
10:14 AM TODAY...10:52 PM TONIGHT...10:59 AM SUNDAY.
AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON...
9:03 AM TODAY...9:41 PM TONIGHT...9:48 AM SUNDAY.
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE
LOWER KEYS TODAY. MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 TO 50 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT IN THE DRY
TORTUGAS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 45 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 11 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER.
...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS
THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE MINOR
PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ON SOME ROADWAYS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVE THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS WEST OF KEY
WEST. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER ATLANTIC AND
GULF SIDE WATERS. EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS LATER
TODAY. TONIGHT...ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE THROUGH KEY WEST...WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND
INCREASE TO AROUND 30 KNOTS WITH NUMEROUS SQUALLS...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE. WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO 40 KNOTS TONIGHT WITH HIGHER
WINDS POSSIBLE IN NUMEROUS SQUALLS. SEAS WILL BUILD UP TO 11 FEET
OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
GUSTAV TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 600 AM...OR SOONER IF
NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$
JACOBSON
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