[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

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WTNT42 KNHC 281113
TCDAT2
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
730 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2008

AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE HAS FOUND MAXIMUM 700 MB FLIGHT
LEVEL WINDS OF 67 KT...CORRESPONDING TO ABOUT 60 KT AT THE SURFACE.
THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS TO UPDATE THE INTENSITY FORECAST TO
REFLECT THE CURRENT AND FORECAST INTENSITY. THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST. THE STRENGTHENING OF
GUSTAV HAS PROMPTED THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA TO ISSUE A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR JAMAICA.

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY SUPERSEDES THE ISSUANCE OF AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 800 AM EDT.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      28/1130Z 17.8N  75.6W    60 KT
 12HR VT     28/1800Z 17.5N  76.1W    65 KT
 24HR VT     29/0600Z 17.8N  78.3W    65 KT
 36HR VT     29/1800Z 18.5N  80.3W    70 KT
 48HR VT     30/0600Z 19.5N  82.0W    75 KT
 72HR VT     31/0600Z 22.0N  85.5W    95 KT
 96HR VT     01/0600Z 26.0N  89.0W   100 KT
120HR VT     02/0600Z 28.5N  91.0W   100 KT

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA



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