[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT32 KNHC 270836
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
500 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

...GUSTAV STALLS...HEAVY RAIN SQUALLS OVER HAITI...

AT 5 AM...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR HAITI FROM THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAS
BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER
WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 AM...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS TO
THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS TO THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

AT 5 AM...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR JAMAICA.  A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS
TUNAS AND HOLGUIN AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.5 WEST OR ABOUT 80
MILES...125 KM...WEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 155 MILES...
250 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

GUSTAV HAS NOT MOVED MUCH DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5
MPH...7 KM/HR SOON. A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WEST TRACK IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD PASS BETWEEN JAMAICA
AND THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN
HURRICANE STRENGTH ON THURSDAY ONCE IT MOVES AWAY FROM HAITI.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST CENTRAL PRESSURE AS ESTIMATED FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...EASTERN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...18.6 N...73.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA



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