[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT31 KWNH 261220
TCPAT1

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 43 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL062008
400 AM CDT TUE AUG 26 2008

...FAY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN ALABAMA...

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
ALABAMA...GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...EASTERN
TENNESSEE...AND FAR WESTERN NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA.  FLOOD
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA...SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...AND NORTHERN FLORIDA.

AT 400 AM CDT...09Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.7 WEST...OR NEAR
TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH...10 KM/HR. THE
FORECAST TRACK INDICATES THAT THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF FAY
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
AS IT REACHES ACROSS NORTHERN ALABAMA TODAY AND INTO EASTERN
TENNESSEE TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE 24 HOURS. THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 100 AM CDT

...ALABAMA...

HIGHLAND HOME                         8.54
SEALE 3 ESE                           7.98
CAMDEN 1.0 NNE      6.55
DAUPHIN ISLAND                        6.48
WETUMPKA                              6.44
EUFAULA 1.0 SSE      6.26
AUBURN 4 S                            6.11
MOBILE/DOWNTOWN APT                   6.14
RUTHERFORD                            5.89
MONTGOMERY/MAXWELL AFB                5.55
BIRMINGHAM/MUNI APT                   4.97
HUNTSVILLE      2.90
MUSCLE SHOALS      2.71

...FLORIDA...
MELBOURNE/WINDOVER FARMS             26.65
CAPE CANAVERAL /USAF FIELD MILL 21/  22.83
SEBASTIAN /SCRIPPS SPACE COAST/      22.25
PALM SHORES 1.4 W                    21.44
PALM BAY 1.0 NE                      21.00
VIERA                                20.75
HILLIARD 5.4 NW                      19.70
MELBOURNE WFO                        19.62
CAPE CANAVERAL/COCOA BEACH           19.01
TALLAHASSEE/REGIONAL APT     11.93
GAINESVILLE/REGIONAL APT              8.25
NAPLES/MUNICIPAL APT                  7.96
FT LAUDERDALE/HOLLYWOOD               7.12

...GEORGIA...

THOMASVILLE                          27.50
COOLIDGE 3.2 SSW                     12.03
NEWTON 11 SW                         11.68
ELMODEL                              11.08
BLAKELY                               9.75
VALDOSTA/MOODY AFB                    9.70
MILFORD                               9.26
IRON CITY 6 NE                        9.04
ALBANY                                5.15
SAVANNAH/HUNTER AAF                   4.43
GAINSVILLE      3.41
ROME      2.36
PEACHTREE CITY/ATL WFO                2.06

...KENTUCKY...

CANTON                                1.24

...LOUISIANA...

MILLERVILLE                           4.35
ZACHARY                               4.20
GREENWELL SPRINGS 2 SW                3.79
DENHAM SPRINGS                        3.75
INNISWOLD 4 E                         3.57
VIDALIA                               3.30
JACKSON                               3.26
RESERVE                               3.20
BATON ROUGE      2.84
NEW ORLEANS/MSY                       1.46
SLIDELL/WFO NEW                       1.30

...MISSISSIPPI...

ACKERMAN 3 SE                         6.14
STATE UNIVERSITY                      4.85
GHOLSON 8 W                           4.57
PASCAGOULA                            4.52
TOPTON                                4.37
BROOKSVILLE 2 NNE                     4.21
DAMASCUS 1 SE                         4.16
TOOMSUBA 5 SE                         4.10
NOXAPATER 1 N                         4.00
MERIDIAN      4.37
NATCHEZ                               3.38
JACKSON/WFO JAN                       2.10

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
BEAUFORT                              5.89
MEGGETT 1.8 W      4.97
HARDEEVILLE 13 S                      4.21
WALTERBORO 2 SW                       4.14
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW      3.96
SULLIVANS ISLAND                      3.60
CHARLESTON                            3.49
COLUMBIA      2.39

...TENNESSEE...
MEMPHIS      1.93
DYERSBURG      1.54
CHATTANOOGA      1.11

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING OVER PARTS
OF NORTHERN GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...EASTERN KENTUCKY...NORTH
AND SOUTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA...WEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHEASTERN
OHIO...AND SOUTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF
GEORGIA...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...EASTERN
TENNESSEE...AND THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE CAROLINAS.

REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...33.2 NORTH...87.7
WEST...MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...20 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR WEATHER.GOV FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON FAY.

HEDGE

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 26/0900Z 33.2N 87.7W
12HR VT 26/1800Z 34.4N 86.8W
24HR VT 27/0600Z 35.8N 85.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 27/1800Z 37.2N 83.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 28/0600Z 38.4N 81.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$


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