[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT31 KWNH 260254
TCPAT1

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 42 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL062008
1000 PM CDT MON AUG 25 2008

...FAY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN ALABAMA...

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
ALABAMA...GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...EASTERN
TENNESSEE...AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS.  FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN
EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA...NORTHERN FLORIDA AND
SOUTHERN GEORGIA.

AT 1000 PM CDT...03Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.6 WEST...OR JUST
NORTHEAST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI AND 130 MILES...210
KM...SOUTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH...8 KM/HR. THE
FORECAST TRACK INDICATES THAT THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS IT REACHES
ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE 24 HOURS. THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 700 PM CDT

...ALABAMA...

HIGHLAND HOME                         8.54
SEALE 3 ESE                           7.98
CAMDEN 1.0 NNE      6.55
DAUPHIN ISLAND                        6.48
WETUMPKA                              6.44
EUFAULA 1.0 SSE      6.26
AUBURN 4 S                            6.11
MOBILE/DOWNTOWN APT                   6.06
RUTHERFORD                            5.89
MONTGOMERY/MAXWELL AFB                5.53
BIRMINGHAM/MUNI APT                   4.12

...FLORIDA...
MELBOURNE/WINDOVER FARMS             26.65
CAPE CANAVERAL /USAF FIELD MILL 21/  22.83
SEBASTIAN /SCRIPPS SPACE COAST/      22.25
PALM SHORES 1.4 W                    21.44
PALM BAY 1.0 NE                      21.00
VIERA                                20.75
HILLIARD 5.4 NW                      19.70
MELBOURNE WFO                        19.62
CAPE CANAVERAL/COCOA BEACH           19.01
TALLAHASSEE/REGIONAL APT     11.93
GAINESVILLE/REGIONAL APT              8.25
NAPLES/MUNICIPAL APT                  7.96
FT LAUDERDALE/HOLLYWOOD               7.12

...GEORGIA...

THOMASVILLE                          27.50
COOLIDGE 3.2 SSW                     12.03
NEWTON 11 SW                         11.68
ELMODEL                              11.08
BLAKELY                               9.75
VALDOSTA/MOODY AFB                    9.70
MILFORD                               9.26
IRON CITY 6 NE                        9.04
ALBANY                                4.99
SAVANNAH/HUNTER AAF                   4.43
PEACHTREE CITY/ATL WFO                2.00

...KENTUCKY...

CANTON                                1.24

...LOUISIANA...

MILLERVILLE                           4.35
ZACHARY                               4.20
GREENWELL SPRINGS 2 SW                3.79
DENHAM SPRINGS                        3.75
INNISWOLD 4 E                         3.57
VIDALIA                               3.30
JACKSON                               3.26
RESERVE                               3.20
BATON ROUGE      2.84
NEW ORLEANS/MSY                       1.46
SLIDELL/WFO NEW                       1.30

...MISSISSIPPI...

ACKERMAN 3 SE                         6.14
STATE UNIVERSITY                      4.85
GHOLSON 8 W                           4.57
PASCAGOULA                            4.52
TOPTON                                4.37
BROOKSVILLE 2 NNE                     4.21
DAMASCUS 1 SE                         4.16
TOOMSUBA 5 SE                         4.10
NOXAPATER 1 N                         4.00
PHILADELPHIA 5 N                      3.99
COLLINSVILLE 7 SE                     3.79
MERIDIAN      3.66
NATCHEZ                               3.38
JACKSON/WFO JAN                       2.10

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
BEAUFORT                              5.89
MEGGETT 1.8 W      4.97
HARDEEVILLE 13 S                      4.21
WALTERBORO 2 SW                       4.14
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW      3.96
SULLIVANS ISLAND                      3.60
CHARLESTON                            3.49
COLUMBIA      2.26

...TENNESSEE...
MEMPHIS      1.92
MARTIN UNIVERSITY                     1.40
PULASKI                               1.07

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN
ALABAMA...NORTHERN GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...EASTERN
KENTUCKY...THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...AND
SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING....WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN
ALABAMA...WESTERN GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...32.5 NORTH...88.6
WEST...MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...25 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR WEATHER.GOV FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON FAY.

HEDGE

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 25/2100Z 32.5N 88.6W
12HR VT 26/0600Z 33.6N 88.0W
24HR VT 26/1800Z 35.0N 86.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 27/0600Z 36.5N 85.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 27/1800Z 37.8N 83.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$


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