[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KWNH 250849
TCPAT1

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 39 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL062008
400 AM CDT MON AUG 25 2008

...FAY REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
ALABAMA...MISSISSIPPI...EASTERN LOUISIANA...AND THE FAR WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.  FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA.

AT 400 AM CDT...09Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST...OR ABOUT
75 MILES..120 KM...SOUTH OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI AND 90 MILES...145
KM... NORTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.

THE DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE FORECAST TRACK INDICATES
THAT THE CENTER OF FAY WILL BEGIN MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST
TODAY...AND REACH INTO NORTHERN ALABAMA DURING TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH..40 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 100 AM CDT

...LOUISIANA...

BATON ROUGE      2.80
BOOTHVILLE      1.92
NEW ORLEANS (MSY)                     1.46
SALT POINT      1.31
SLIDELL      1.15
NEW IBERIA      1.07
LAFAYETTE                             0.76

...MISSISSIPPI...

STARKVILLE 5.3 S      2.88
NATCHEZ/HARDY      2.72
COLUMBUS AFB      2.47
MERIDIAN/KEY FIELD                    2.45
TUPELO      2.20
MERIDIAN NAS/MCCAIN                   1.96
JACKSON       1.94
VICKSBURG      1.75
MCCOMB/LEWIS FIELD                    1.85
GREENWOOD      1.10
HATTIESBURG      1.01
PASCAGOULA      0.79
BILOXI      0.23
GULFPORT      0.17

...ALABAMA...

CAMDEN 1.0 NNE      6.55
EUFAULA 1.0 SSE      6.26
WETUMPKA 5.0 SE      6.14
TROY                                  5.65
OZARK                                 5.42
DOTHAN      4.38
AUBURN      4.05
MONTGOMERY                            3.58
BIRMINGHAM                            3.31
ANNISTON      2.84
TUSCALOOSA                            2.31
EVERGREEN      1.81
MOBILE      1.41

...GEORGIA...

THOMASVILLE 2.8 E                    17.43
COOLIDGE 3.2 SSW                     12.03
MOULTRIE 6.2 SW      9.45
VALDOSTA      8.31
LAKE PARK 2.8 W      7.11
ALBANY      4.64
COLUMBUS      4.29
ALMA      4.24
SAVANNAH      3.16
BRUNSWICK      2.88
MACON      2.26
PEACHTREE CITY      1.48

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

BEAUFORT                              5.84
MEGGETT 1.8 W      4.97
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW      3.96
CHARLESTON                            2.72

...FLORIDA...

MELBOURNE BEACH              25.28
COCOA BEACH                          24.38
CAPE CANAVERAL                       22.83
DELTONA                              22.69
SATELLITE BEACH                      22.40
PALM SHORES 1.4 W                    21.44
PALM BAY 1.0 NE                      21.00
ORANGE CITY                          19.81
HILLIARD 5.4 NW                      19.70
SANFORD                              15.70
TALLAHASSEE (TLH)     11.93
FORT PIERCE     11.58
JACKSONVILLE     11.70
VERO BEACH     11.34
CROSS CITY      9.97
DAYTONA BEACH      8.82
WEST PALM BEACH      7.32
ORLANDO      7.26
FORT MYERS      6.85
MARATHON      6.80
MIAMI      6.19
KEY WEST      3.35

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PARTS OF ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...WESTERN AND NORTHERN GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...AND
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING....WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF
ALABAMA...WESTERN GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...31.3 N...89.9 W.
MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR WEATHER.GOV FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON FAY.

HEDGE

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 25/0900Z 31.3N 89.9W
12HR VT 25/1800Z 31.8N 89.5W
24HR VT 26/0600Z 32.6N 88.7W
36HR VT 26/1800Z 33.6N 87.6W
48HR VT 27/0600Z 34.7N 86.5W
72HR VT 28/0600Z 37.5N 84.5W...REMNANT LOW
$$

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