[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KWNH 241558
TCPAT1

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 36 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL062008
1000 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

...HEAVY RAIN WILL LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTH DESPITE A WEAKENING
FAY...

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ALABAMA...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...AND ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI AND INTO PARTS OF
EASTERN LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS.

AT 1000 AM CDT...15Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.0 WEST...OR ABOUT
70 MILES..113 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI AND 25
MILES...40 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH. A GENERAL
WEST-SOUTHWEST MOTION WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED SUNDAY...BUT FAY COULD BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY OR STALL
ON MONDAY. THE FORECAST TRACK WILL TAKE FAY INTO SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND FAY WILL BE LOCATED OVER EASTERN
LOUISIANA OR SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH..48 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 700 AM CDT

...ALABAMA...

VALLEY 0.4 NNW                        7.12
CAMDEN 1.0 NNE                        6.83
CLIO 0.2 SSW                          6.38
ELFAULA 1.0 SSE                       6.26
TROY 1.5 ESE                          6.21
WETUMPKA 5.0 SE                       6.14
CLOPTON 0.1 SW                        5.96
LADONIA 13.2 SSW                      5.90
ALEXANDER CITY 10.0 SW                5.77
PINE HILL 3.6 WSW                     5.76
SYLACAUGS 9.2 S                       5.65
TROY                                  5.60
OZARK                                 5.36
DOTHAN                                4.17
AUBURN                                4.04
MONTGOMERY                            3.81
BIRMINGHAM                            3.28
ALABASTER                             2.77
ANNISTON                              2.14
EVERGREEN                             2.14
TUSCALOOSA                            2.10

...FLORIDA...

MELBOURNE BEACH 3.9 SSE              25.28
COCOA BEACH                          24.38
CAPE CANAVERAL                       22.83
DELTONA                              22.69
SATELLITE BEACH                      22.40
PALM SHORES 1.4 W                    21.44
DELTONA 2.9 SE                       20.94
MELBOURNE 7.0 NW                     20.57
ORANGE CITY                          19.81
HILLIARD 5.4 NW                      19.70
TALLAHASSEE 5.7 SE                   19.17
MALABAR 2.9 NNW                      19.00
WACISSA 1.1 SW                       18.09
SANFORD 0.4 ENE                      18.03
LAKEWOOD PARK 0.5 SW                 17.90
DE LAND 4.5 NW                       17.20
COCOA 5.8 NW                         16.77
MICCO 4.5 NW                         16.26
LONGWOOD 2.3 WNW                     15.70
EUSTIS 1.2 SE                        15.56
HOBE SOUND 3.9 NW                    15.01
SANFORD                              14.97
PALM BAY                             14.89
NORTH MAPLES 7.3 E                   14.42
JACKSONVILLE 7.3 SW                  14.40
DE LEON SPRINGS 0.4 SE               14.23
FORT PIERCE                          11.58
JACKSONVILLE                         11.58

...GEORGIA...

VALDOSTA (MOODY AFB)                  8.54
ALBANY                                4.92
SAVANNAH (HUNTER AAF)                 4.41
ALMA                                  3.99
FORT BENNING                          3.66
SAVANNAH                              3.16
COLUMBUS                              3.15
BRUNSWICK                             2.89
MACON                                 1.49

...LOUISIANA...

LAFAYETTE                             1.31
NEW ORLEANS (NEW)                     1.24
BOOTHVILLE                            1.16

...MISSISSIPPI...

JACKSON (WFO)                         3.92
MERIDIAN (NAS/MCCAIN)                 3.74
COLUMBUS (AFB)                        3.39
MERIDIAN                              2.54
GREENWOOD                             2.43
JACKSON                               2.40
NATCHEZ                               2.15
VICKSBURG                             1.37
TUPELO                                1.31

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

BEAUFORT                              5.34
CHARLESTON                            2.67


TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA...EASTERN LOUISIANA...WESTERN GEORGIA AND
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING....WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. LIGHTER RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN
TENNESSEE... EASTERN GEORGIA... EASTERN ARKANSAS AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO
GEORGIA AND ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...32.0 N...89.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR WEATHER.GOV FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.

MUSHER

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 24/1500Z 32.0N 89.0W
12HR VT 25/0000Z 31.1N 91.1W
24HR VT 25/1200Z 31.0N 90.9W
36HR VT 26/0000Z 31.3N 90.3W
48HR VT 26/1200Z 31.8N 89.6W
72HR VT 27/1200Z 33.9N 87.7W...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 28/1200Z 38.0N 84.0W...REMNANT LOW





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