[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT31 KWNH 240845
TCPAT1

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 35 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL062008
400 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING COULD CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS FROM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY...

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
ALABAMA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND NORTHERN FLORIDA.   FLASH FLOOD
WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT INTO THIS EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI AND EASTERN LOUISIANA.

AT 400 AM CDT...09Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST...OR ABOUT
55 MILES..88 KM...NORTH OF MOBILE AL.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  A
GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY...BUT FAY COULD BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY ON MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING
OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TODAY AND WILL BE LOCATED OVER EASTERN
LOUISIANA ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH..48 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  VERY GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.  THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 100 AM CDT

...ALABAMA...

TROY                                  5.58
DOTHAN                                4.00
MONTGOMERY                            3.67
AUBURN                                3.30
EVERGREEN                             1.79
TUSCALOOSA                            1.30
BIRMINGHAM       .81
MOBILE                                 .10

...MISSISSIPPI...

MERIDIAN      1.62
COLUMBUS       .68
JACKSON         .19

...GEORGIA...

VALDOSTA                              7.91
ALBANY                                4.57
ALMA                                  3.88
SAVANNAH                              3.13
BRUNSWICK      2.88
COLUMBUS      2.26
MACON      1.03

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

BEAUFORT                              4.97
CHARLESTON                            2.66

...FLORIDA...

MELBOURNE BEACH                      25.03
COCOA BEACH     24.38
CAPE CANAVERAL     22.83
DELTONA            22.69
SATELLITE BEACH     22.40
ORANGE CITY     19.81
SANFORD             14.97
PALM BAY      14.89
FORT PIERCE             11.58
JACKSONVILLE     11.57
VERO BEACH     11.34
CROSS CITY      9.86
TALLAHASSEE      9.49
DAYTONA BEACH      8.61
WEST PALM BEACH      7.32
ORLANDO      7.26
FORT MYERS      6.85
MARATHON      6.80
MIAMI      6.19
KEY WEST      3.35
PANAMA CITY      1.39
TAMPA       .72
PENSACOLA       .45

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA...EASTERN LOUISIANA...AND THE WESTERN
PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS....WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER GEORGIA
AND THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND MUCH OF
MISSISSIPPI.

REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...31.6 N...88.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT.  PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

HEDGE

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 24/0900Z 31.6N 88.2W
12HR VT 24/1800Z 31.5N 89.4W
24HR VT 25/0600Z 31.1N 90.6W
36HR VT 25/1800Z 31.0N 91.0W
48HR VT 26/0600Z 31.0N 91.0W
72HR VT 27/0600Z 32.0N 90.5W
96HR VT 28/0600Z 33.5N 89.2W...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 29/0600Z 35.0N 87.0W...REMNANT LOW




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