[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 232359
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT AUG 23 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM FAY...CENTERED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE ABOUT
35 MILES NORTHEAST OF PENSACOLA.

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT
DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT A BROAD SURFACE CIRCULATION COULD BE
FORMING.  ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA.  THIS WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SQUALLY WEATHER OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE
LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS HAS
DECREASED THIS EVENING.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
GRADUALLY BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE...BUT SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB



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